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Survivor Season 34: Game Changers (Power Rankings Challenge)

 

02-08-17 04:07 AM
legacyme3 is Offline
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legacyme3
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Furret :

You are a Survivor fan, so I'll challenge you (and any other Survivor fans!) to the Power Ranking Challenge!

-----

The rules of the Survivor Power Ranking Challenge are simple: We more or less follow Survivor xFinity's Power Rankings rules, and compete alongside them. Every week, I list Gordon's, that season's exclusive ranker's, and our (as well as my omnipotent friend, Nick's) rankings, and we accumulate points based on who goes home that week in Survivor.

If you put a castaway in 12th place for that week, you will get 12 points. If it is the finale, you predict the final order, gaining points (I forget how much) based on final order.

This thread will be very difficult, because I'm essentially hoping people will bump the thread enough for me to update it throughout the season! Otherwise, I'll have to find an alternative way to keep score publicly! Maybe a new thread! Yeah, we'll probably just do that! (I hate the sandwich rules, and so should you, it just creates new "spam", even though at its core it tries so hard to prevent it).

-----

So we're starting with Survivor Season 34: Game Changers. The good news? There's a lot of potential with the cast. The bad news? It might be too predictable. That's where you come in, we see if the season is truly predictable (the closer the final scores, the more likely the season was easy to read), while getting to have fun, and play a guessing game!

So who is competing in S34? The cast was officially revealed today (well, last night it leaked, and I'm lazy, so I'm going to assume it was officially released by the time you all read this) and it's a doozy.

We have (in order of first appearance):

Jeff Varner (S2 Australia - 10th, S31 Cambodia - 17th)
Sandra Diaz-Twine (S7 Pearl Islands - 1st, S20 Heroes vs. Villains - 1st)
Cirie Fields (S12 Panama - 4th, S16 Micronesia - 3rd, S20 Heroes vs. Villains - 17th)
Ozzy Lusth (S13 Cook Islands - 2nd, S16 Micronesia - 9th, S23 South Pacific - 4th)
J.T. Thomas (S18 Tocantins - 1st, S20 Heroes vs. Villains - 10th)
Andrea Boehlke (S22 Redemption Island - 5th, S26 Caramoan - 7th)
Troyzan Robertson (S24 One World - 8th)
Malcolm Freberg (S25 Philippines - 4th, S26 Caramoan - 9th)
Brad Culpepper (S27 Blood vs. Water - 15th)
Ciera Eastin (S27 Blood vs. Water - 5th, S31 Cambodia - 10th)
Tony Vlachos (S28 Cagayan - 1st)
Sarah Lacina (S28 Cagayan - 11th)
Hali Ford (S30 Worlds Apart - 11th)
Sierra Dawn Thomas (S30 Worlds Apart - 5th)
Aubry Bracco (S32 Kaoh Rong - 2nd)
Caleb Reynolds (S32 Kaoh Rong - 15th)
Debbie Wanner (S32 Kaoh Rong - 9th)
Tai Trang (S32 Kaoh Rong - 3rd)
Michaela Bradshaw (S33 Millennials vs. Gen X - 14th)
Zeke Smith (S33 Millennials vs. Gen X - 9th)

In short: Australia, Pearl Islands, Panama, Cook Islands, Micronesia, Tocantins, Heroes vs. Villains, Redemption Island, South Pacific, One World, Philippines, Caramoan, Blood vs. Water, Cagayan, Worlds Apart, Cambodia, Kaoh Rong, and Millenials vs. Gen X are all represented (if you wanted to watch those seasons for a refresher on the characters). That's 18 of the 33 seasons (over half) represented by 20 different castaways.

Below is a small list of the players to have played with each other.

Jeff Varner/Ciera Eastin (Cambodia)
Sandra Diaz-Twine/Cirie Fields (Heroes vs. Villains)
Sandra Diaz-Twine/J.T Thomas (Heroes vs. Villains)
Cirie Fields/Ozzy Lusth (Micronesia)
Cirie Fields/J.T. Thomas (Heroes vs. Villains)
Andrea Boehlke/Malcolm Freberg (Caramoan)
Brad Culpepper/Ciera Eastin (Blood vs. Water)
Tony Vlachos/Sarah Lacina (Cagayan)
Hali Ford/Sierra Dawn Thomas (Worlds Apart)
Aubry Bracco/Caleb Reynolds (Kaoh Rong)
Aubry Bracco/Debbie Wanner (Kaoh Rong)
Aubry Bracco/Tai Trang (Kaoh Rong)
Caleb Reynolds/Debbie Wanner (Kaoh Rong)
Caleb Reynolds/Tai Trang (Kaoh Rong)
Debbie Wanner/Tai Trang (Kaoh Rong)
Michaela Bradshaw/Zeke Smith (Millennials vs. Gen X)

The players on Game Changers with no ties prior to this season are: Troyzan Robertson... and that's it. Troyzan is the only player on this season to not have played with at least one other member of the cast!

-----

Now, for actual predictions! These are subject to change if CBS announces the tribe divisions in the morning, or if they announce the Tribe Divisions prior to Episode 1. Rankings will close as of 8 PM ET on the debut of the season (which is still like a month away). So for this first installment you can change it as often as you want prior to the first episode.

So here's my best guess!

(Do note, I'm going to do two rankings. The first ranking is the official ranking. The one that is for Episode 1. The second ranking is unofficial, it's my rankings for the ENTIRE season, and will contain what I believe will happen for the entire season, just to see how predictable we think it actually is).

-----

EPISODE 1

1. Ozzy Lusth - He's a challenge beast, why the f*** would you get rid of one right off the bat, unless he breaks a leg? I'm not going to get rid of him, even if I think he's a threat later, and neither will the people actually playing the game.

2. Malcolm Freberg - Yeah, this seems pretty obvious so far, don't get rid of challenge beasts.

3. J.T. Thomas - Read the first two. It's been 14 seasons since we last saw JT, when the first episode hits, but odds are, he's still in pretty decent shape. I'm not betting against him here.

4. Michaela Bradshaw - Normally I'd never put any woman this high, since each season has 3 or 4 obvious guys you don't get rid of Episode 1, but Michaela proved that not only can woman be dominant challenge performers, they can flat out out-perform men in the right situations too. She could legitimately hold her own against any of these guys probably.

5. Caleb Reynolds - Read above basically, Caleb is one of the most gifted people the show has ever had physically, and we were robbed of more of him by the worst med-evac I've personally ever seen. Sure, Skupin fell in the fire and that was disgusting, but he's into some really bad s***, so I don't feel even a little bad for him anymore. Caleb, on the other hand, while a douche, is not the world's worst person, so I feel bad about him getting a golden opportunity snatched from him.

6. Brad Culpepper - OK, so I'm taking a bit of a gamble here! He pissed off a ton of people in his first season, he's an annoying braggart, and his social game is garbage! But he's also one of the 7 or 8 best challenge competitors on this season, so it makes no sense to get rid of him right away.

7. Aubry Bracco - If they are smart, they'll get rid of her quickly, but if they are smart, that quickly won't be Episode 1. She is a surprising challenge threat, and a heavy strategic mastermind. She just needs a better social game and she's a triple threat player.

8. Andrea Boehlke - We're in solidly "meh" category. This is the type of player who could be voted out first, but probably won't be, because of there being bigger targets on the tribe. She's not weak, from what I remember, so she's probably the safest of the bunch, but she could be in danger territory if there's a puzzle (there's always a puzzle) and she ends up botching it.

9. Tai Trang - Similarly to the above, he's not weak physically, but he's also an old man. He's not a huge threat, outside of his connections to the Kaoh Rong players playing, so it makes sense to keep him around in the early game unless you get him on the same team as Aubry and Caleb, two players with whom he has a strong connection. He has a chance to rise in these rankings if it comes out that either (or god-forgiving, both) are on the other tribe.

10. Zeke Smith - I don't believe the players playing saw MvGX before heading out to play this season, so they are going to know nothing about him or Michaela. Zeke is a player who is unspectacular on his own. He's surprising in challenges, and is pretty outside the box, which will be beneficial, but once his strategy starts to show, he could be in trouble. He might have the single biggest advantage possible from not having a previous season shown.

11. Sierra Dawn Thomas - She's not useless in challenges. She's probably safe if she can avoid messing everything up.

12. Troyzan Robertson - He's not useless in challenges. He's probably safe if he can avoid messing everything up.

13 (was 14). Sarah Lacina - She was originally on the brawn tribe for a reason. She's probably stronger than 2 or 3 women on whatever tribe she starts on, so she's probably not the first to go. Add in the fact she's not a strategic threat in the slightest, and could be an easy number to use (since she probably wants revenge on Tony), and she's likely safer than those below.

14 (was 15). Jeff Varner - He's failed to make the jury twice now, and both times for pretty obvious reasons. In his first season, he had a poor grasp on social alliances, and as a result a member leaked that he had gotten votes against him (and in the old format, it was a death blow), in his second season, he was a poor challenge performer who got hurt, and you can't keep a poor challenge performer, who has a bum ankle. Now everyone knows he's a hard and fast player. He needs to lay low or he's f***ed.

15 (was 16). Debbie Wanner - I'm not confident in her safety. She's annoying, she's got the Kaoh Rong target on her back, and she's not what I'd call great at challenges. Contrary to her belief, puzzles do not lay down for her like lovers.

16 (was 13). Hali Ford - I'll be honest, we're grasping at straws, there are a lot of people who could go first, and we're approaching the territory where they aren't so good at challenges that we can ignore the target on their back entering the game. Hali isn't threatening in the slightest, but she's not exactly an amazing performer.


17. Tony Vlachos - He's a huge threat entering the season, and he has very little chance of making it to the merge. Half of that struggle will be making it past the first episode. He's not weak at challenges, but he's not strong either, and he's a well known social threat, who has a huge bag of tricks at all times. Best to get rid of him early, before he gains momentum.

18. Sandra Diaz-Twine - I don't want to rank her at the very bottom. She's the obvious target. She's a poor challenge performer, and a two-time winner. It makes zero sense to keep her. Everyone wants to be the person who voted out the "queen". Her only hope is to end up on a good tribe in challenges. That's a 50-50 chance.

19 (was 20). Cirie Fields. Like what I said with Sandra, it's a 50-50 chance. And I think she's actually worse at challenges than Sandra, so I think it's 100% more likely she's gone. Hell, I could see a tribe throwing the first challenge to be rid of her, especially if she winds up with either player to play with her once, JT and Ozzy.... or worse. Both.

20 (was 19). Ciera Eastin - She's basically Tony, but a girl. And she once voted out her mom. Don't give her a chance or you'll regret it all season, because Jeff will keep talking about making big moves.


-----

SEASON RANKINGS (for my own amusement) (I would read these from 20 to 1st, since that's the order I wrote them in)

1. Sierra Dawn Thomas - She's the least deserving member of this cast if your criteria is how they've changed the game. She changed the game by NOT CHANGING THE GAME. That is literally her entire selling point besides the fact she can roll a barrel. She's not a terrible player, and she's not boring or anything, but she's not even the most game changery Sierra/Ciera/Cirie in the game. She's just an alternate for Natalie Anderson apparently, which really sucks, because NatAnd would be a fun player to have. Anyway, she wins because Survivor is terrible and the least deserving players always win because they aren't seen as threats. Worst case - 13th. She's so under the radar, I literally think it's impossible for her to not make the merge. Best case - winner. I mean, she's listed as the winner here, so what do you think?

2. Hali Ford - She's also kind of a goat? Difference between her and Tai is, I think she can draw a vote at the end. She showed the ability to make a move without coming off as a jerk, and her personality is infectious. Now that she has a chance to play with people who aren't cancer incarnate, I think she has a fantastic chance to improve her legacy and become a player worth remembering. Worst case - 16th. In the case of a double swap, she has a bit to worry about, particularly if she isn't on a tribe with a threat. Best case - 1st. She could win if she gets two goats to the end with her. She's just under the radar enough to not be seen as a threat, but just intelligent enough to be able to win the game, too.

3. Tai Trang - He barely speaks English, it doesn't matter how many times he gets to the Final Tribal Council, if he's up against anyone relatively well spoken, he's not winning this game. Obvious goat is obvious. Worst case - 20th. His social skills (or lack of in some cases) make him the most hit or miss player this side of Jeff Varner. He's either going to be loved and not a target, or rub people the wrong way and be an instant target. In both cases... Best case - 3rd, not a chance of winning.

4. J.T Thomas - If he doesn't win the final immunity challenge, he's screwed. Not any player left would bring him without a good reason, and I don't think the good reason will exist. I think he'll go back to more of his Tocantins style of gameplay, which is bad news for the rest of the players. And with how he hasn't graced our screens in a long time, he might not be seen as a threat right away. He played the first perfect game, but he also made one of the dumbest moves in Survivor history. Worst case - 13th. Think he hits the merge, but is too big a threat to be ignored. If the players are smart, they'll agree. Best case - 1st. He's the guy I want to win this season the most, but it's not terribly likely. He's too visible, but this is the best chance he'll have to be the 2nd member of the two-time winner club.

5. Troyzan Robertson - Not his island anymore! I think he's going to be a surprising presence on the season, mainly because he's the only player on this season who has no connections from a prior season! He's ok at challenges, but he's not threatening, and he doesn't scream social or strategic threat. He might even be a goat. But of the players left in the game, he might have too good a case to be left be. Worst case - 13th. I just don't think he has to worry until he hits the merge, in the slightest. Best case - 2nd. I don't think he has a chance of winning. But I also think he can draw a vote at the end, so you'd rather not bring him if you can help it.

6. Michaela Bradshaw - She's just too good at Survivor to win. So I don't think she gets any higher than this, likely. If she can get to FTC, she 100% wins the game, unless it's against someone like Malcolm or JT. I think she at least hits the merge, and she stick around because she does a good job of adapting from her previous game. Worst case - 16th. Second swap is her biggest obstacle. Getting by the first swap shouldn't be too hard. But if there's a second swap, she needs to be wary of her too hard too fast gameplay, since it's possible she ends up in a situation where someone from her original tribe talks about her to her new alliance mates from the first swap. If she does, she better have been straight with them, but not said too much. Best case - 4th. Don't think there's a chance they give her a chance at FTC unless they have to (IE - her or Sandra situation).

7. Brad Culpepper - I'm just going to put him here because I don't know where else I'd put him. Odds are by this point, the two warring factions have realized it's become a me game, and will ditch alliance lines they've picked up since the merge, in favor of sticking to their F2/3 plans. And of the players left, Brad is the only one I can see not having a date, so to speak. He's too abrasive to make the right friends, but he's good enough to win if you let him stick around. I'm not sure he actually gets any votes because of his behavior, but you really would rather not risk it, in this case. Worst case - 18th. f*** you Brad Culpepper! Best case - 4th, I just can't see anyone wanting to spend their last days with him.

8. Sarah Lacina - There are too many goats left in the game, or perceived goats. Of those players, Sarah stands out the most, because of her abrasive nature, and how she presents herself. I wouldn't want to be with her for too long. In this final 8 scenario, there are probably two warring factions battling to the end, and it will all come down to a swing vote. She's just not as likely to flip as one of the other players, so a swing vote could easily work against her. Worst case - 18th. If she swaps into a tribe with Tony in the majority, she's screwed. Best case - 3rd, FTC goat.

9. Malcolm Freberg - This is about where I expect him to finish. He's a strong challenge threat, and he's likable, so you won't get rid of him before the merge, likely. But he's a triple threat player who almost assuredly wins if he gets to the end. So what do you do to keep him from getting to the end? You vote him out, of course. Worst case - 13th. Hits the merge, but instantly gone. Best case - 1st. I mean, Mike did it, right? Who says he can't win literally every immunity challenge?

10. Zeke Smith - I don't think it makes sense to keep him around. He's not "known" to be a strategic threat, and if he can duck the weak spot in his game, then he won't be known as one until it is too late. His mistake in MvGX was revealing his gameplan way too soon, which is why he peaked and got voted out in epic fashion. But I think in this season, especially if the players before leave, he's going to stand out as more than a dude in a wacky shirt (side note - I do hope he wears a wacky shirt!). Worst case - 14th. If he gets exposed as a strategic threat, he'll be kept until just before the merge or the early merge. Best case - 1st. If he can keep the spotlight off of him, and not reveal his cards until it is too late (like David did in MvGX), then his ceiling is insurmountable

11. Aubry Bracco - Right after Debbie is eliminated, I think is the perfect time to blindside Aubry. She might be feeling a little safe since another member of the KR cast is gone (at this point it would be just her and Tai left). But not so fast! She's a clear threat, and you can't let her get a second chance at a FTC speech. Worst case - 16th. Either a swap or second swap could pose problematic, but it's more likely in a second swap than a first one, considering she's not useless. Best case - 1st. If she gets to FTC, I think she pretty solidly wins, just based on her past reputation of

12. Debbie Wanner - I seriously just think they'll get rid of her because she's annoying and no other reason. No seriously. That's it. Worst case - 20th. She could be voted out first if she gets unlucky. Best case - 3rd. She could be a FTC goat who draws a single vote. That's about all I could predict.

13. Ozzy Lusth - I'm assuming this is the time the merge happens, roughly. If it does, and Ozzy is still around, he's probably enemy #1. He once voted himself out just so he could eliminate people on Redemption Island. He's that confident in his physical ability. If I was on this season, I'd be wary of him. You cannot let him get on a tear, first chance you get, you get rid of him. He also has FTC experience, and you don't want to give him another chance there. Worst case - 15th. Best case - 4th. I don't think there's a single chance he gets to FTC. Like, in what world would you allow that if you were on the season?

14. Andrea Boehlke - I'd like to see her go further too! She's a fun, strategic threat, but the problem with that, is that once you get close to the merge, people get antsy, and if Cambodia is any indication, the merge will happen close to 13 or so people. This could be their last chance to get rid of her without throwing away a chance to get rid of an alpha. Worst case - 18th. Or whenever the swap happens. She could be seen as a huge threat, in addition to not being a strong physical player. Best case - 1st. She has a good chance to win if she can hit the merge. She's not threatening enough to get rid of once you get to the merge, but she's threatening enough that you have to target her before the merge. If she gets to the merge, she could slip by.

15. Caleb Reynolds - I imagine this is where things start to get interesting, and tribes become more willing to ditch physical threats. He's got a ton of connections (most notably with Tai), and he's got the recency bias in his favor. He may get a pity/sympathy pass due to his med-evac in his previous season, but I think even if he gets beyond here, it won't be much farther. And it will be a shame, because as a player he has a ton of potential. Worst case - 15th. Best case - 1st. Yeah, it might sound odd, but I think he has a chance (albeit a small one) at winning the game, because of how people might underestimate him. Unlike Tai and Aubry who had their games shown heavily, all that is really known about Beastmode Cowboy is that he's strong. If he can get to the merge, with his athleticism, he has a pretty good chance to win through, and he's good at making bonds.

16. Sandra Diaz-Twine - I hate to have her gone so soon, but I think there's only so far she can go on the "there's no way they let me win a third time, right?" argument. Her only hope is strong challenge performers carrying her to the merge, where she won't be as big of a target, but they have to lose sometime, and when they do, Sandra will be an inevitable target. I want her to go so much farther, but she's the only two-time winner in the history of the game, and no one will be stupid enough to let her slip by. Worst case - 20th. Best case - 4th. There's zero, zero chance she makes the FTC. If you get to the F4 immunity challenge, and she's still there, she will not win unless she's playing against three people with broken ankles. She's not playing with Russell this time, either. Or Johnny Fairplay. If it's a choice between her and Malcolm, whoever wins will almost assuredly prefer to bring Malcolm. No one would chance losing to Sandra, and let her win a third time.

17. Jeff Varner - I think this is about where Varner goes, because by now, it will have been about 10-12 days of being on the island with him, and I don't think he can contain his excitement for the game enough for him to stop being a target, when you consider his lack of physical strength. He needs to lay low, and I don't think it will happen. Worst case - 19th, no way he's the first boot, right? Best case - 4th. Yeah, that seems high, doesn't it? Jeff Varner might be the biggest boom or bust player in this game. He's either going to flame out, or he's going to be a huge strategic and social threat that somehow slips through to the Finale before everybody decides he's gone way too far.

18. Tony Vlachos - I would hate, hate, hate, to see this happen, but I figure by this point, there will have been either a swap or a third tribe, or some sort of twist, and this only hurts Tony, it doesn't help him, unless he gets put on a tribe with tons of challenge performers. The odds of that are low, and thus, so are his chances of avoiding Tribal Council three times in a row. Third time is the charm, and that's when they get rid of him. Worst case - 20th. Best case - 10th. I think he has a very very very small chance to hit the merge. And if he does, he might even avoid being the target for a small bit of time. But they'll come back to him once they've taken out the physical threats outside the main alliance, and there's no chance Tony will be in it.

19 (was 20th). Cirie Fields - As I said above, I believe there's a high chance she's gone early. You don't need to be a Survivor expert to see she's doomed from the outset. Worst case - 20th. Best case - doesn't even hit the merge, in any scenario I can imagine. I'd say 15th is her absolute ceiling. I imagine by then, there will be either a swap, or third tribe, and she'll be put with one of the players who will most likely want her gone. Totally screwed this season.

20 (was 19th). Ciera Eastin - This list may look a lot like the other list, but if we're being honest, she's entering this game with a huge target, recency bias, and a lack of challenge strength. Sandra has an easier argument for keeping her. Ciera has always demonstrated a desire to change the game up, and as a result, people might be afraid of her playing up to the theme. Worst case - 20th. Best case - No merge for her. I'd say 15th is probably the best she can do without a ton of luck.


Best of luck to anyone who wants to join in. If you want to, just leave your own rankings below!
Furret :

You are a Survivor fan, so I'll challenge you (and any other Survivor fans!) to the Power Ranking Challenge!

-----

The rules of the Survivor Power Ranking Challenge are simple: We more or less follow Survivor xFinity's Power Rankings rules, and compete alongside them. Every week, I list Gordon's, that season's exclusive ranker's, and our (as well as my omnipotent friend, Nick's) rankings, and we accumulate points based on who goes home that week in Survivor.

If you put a castaway in 12th place for that week, you will get 12 points. If it is the finale, you predict the final order, gaining points (I forget how much) based on final order.

This thread will be very difficult, because I'm essentially hoping people will bump the thread enough for me to update it throughout the season! Otherwise, I'll have to find an alternative way to keep score publicly! Maybe a new thread! Yeah, we'll probably just do that! (I hate the sandwich rules, and so should you, it just creates new "spam", even though at its core it tries so hard to prevent it).

-----

So we're starting with Survivor Season 34: Game Changers. The good news? There's a lot of potential with the cast. The bad news? It might be too predictable. That's where you come in, we see if the season is truly predictable (the closer the final scores, the more likely the season was easy to read), while getting to have fun, and play a guessing game!

So who is competing in S34? The cast was officially revealed today (well, last night it leaked, and I'm lazy, so I'm going to assume it was officially released by the time you all read this) and it's a doozy.

We have (in order of first appearance):

Jeff Varner (S2 Australia - 10th, S31 Cambodia - 17th)
Sandra Diaz-Twine (S7 Pearl Islands - 1st, S20 Heroes vs. Villains - 1st)
Cirie Fields (S12 Panama - 4th, S16 Micronesia - 3rd, S20 Heroes vs. Villains - 17th)
Ozzy Lusth (S13 Cook Islands - 2nd, S16 Micronesia - 9th, S23 South Pacific - 4th)
J.T. Thomas (S18 Tocantins - 1st, S20 Heroes vs. Villains - 10th)
Andrea Boehlke (S22 Redemption Island - 5th, S26 Caramoan - 7th)
Troyzan Robertson (S24 One World - 8th)
Malcolm Freberg (S25 Philippines - 4th, S26 Caramoan - 9th)
Brad Culpepper (S27 Blood vs. Water - 15th)
Ciera Eastin (S27 Blood vs. Water - 5th, S31 Cambodia - 10th)
Tony Vlachos (S28 Cagayan - 1st)
Sarah Lacina (S28 Cagayan - 11th)
Hali Ford (S30 Worlds Apart - 11th)
Sierra Dawn Thomas (S30 Worlds Apart - 5th)
Aubry Bracco (S32 Kaoh Rong - 2nd)
Caleb Reynolds (S32 Kaoh Rong - 15th)
Debbie Wanner (S32 Kaoh Rong - 9th)
Tai Trang (S32 Kaoh Rong - 3rd)
Michaela Bradshaw (S33 Millennials vs. Gen X - 14th)
Zeke Smith (S33 Millennials vs. Gen X - 9th)

In short: Australia, Pearl Islands, Panama, Cook Islands, Micronesia, Tocantins, Heroes vs. Villains, Redemption Island, South Pacific, One World, Philippines, Caramoan, Blood vs. Water, Cagayan, Worlds Apart, Cambodia, Kaoh Rong, and Millenials vs. Gen X are all represented (if you wanted to watch those seasons for a refresher on the characters). That's 18 of the 33 seasons (over half) represented by 20 different castaways.

Below is a small list of the players to have played with each other.

Jeff Varner/Ciera Eastin (Cambodia)
Sandra Diaz-Twine/Cirie Fields (Heroes vs. Villains)
Sandra Diaz-Twine/J.T Thomas (Heroes vs. Villains)
Cirie Fields/Ozzy Lusth (Micronesia)
Cirie Fields/J.T. Thomas (Heroes vs. Villains)
Andrea Boehlke/Malcolm Freberg (Caramoan)
Brad Culpepper/Ciera Eastin (Blood vs. Water)
Tony Vlachos/Sarah Lacina (Cagayan)
Hali Ford/Sierra Dawn Thomas (Worlds Apart)
Aubry Bracco/Caleb Reynolds (Kaoh Rong)
Aubry Bracco/Debbie Wanner (Kaoh Rong)
Aubry Bracco/Tai Trang (Kaoh Rong)
Caleb Reynolds/Debbie Wanner (Kaoh Rong)
Caleb Reynolds/Tai Trang (Kaoh Rong)
Debbie Wanner/Tai Trang (Kaoh Rong)
Michaela Bradshaw/Zeke Smith (Millennials vs. Gen X)

The players on Game Changers with no ties prior to this season are: Troyzan Robertson... and that's it. Troyzan is the only player on this season to not have played with at least one other member of the cast!

-----

Now, for actual predictions! These are subject to change if CBS announces the tribe divisions in the morning, or if they announce the Tribe Divisions prior to Episode 1. Rankings will close as of 8 PM ET on the debut of the season (which is still like a month away). So for this first installment you can change it as often as you want prior to the first episode.

So here's my best guess!

(Do note, I'm going to do two rankings. The first ranking is the official ranking. The one that is for Episode 1. The second ranking is unofficial, it's my rankings for the ENTIRE season, and will contain what I believe will happen for the entire season, just to see how predictable we think it actually is).

-----

EPISODE 1

1. Ozzy Lusth - He's a challenge beast, why the f*** would you get rid of one right off the bat, unless he breaks a leg? I'm not going to get rid of him, even if I think he's a threat later, and neither will the people actually playing the game.

2. Malcolm Freberg - Yeah, this seems pretty obvious so far, don't get rid of challenge beasts.

3. J.T. Thomas - Read the first two. It's been 14 seasons since we last saw JT, when the first episode hits, but odds are, he's still in pretty decent shape. I'm not betting against him here.

4. Michaela Bradshaw - Normally I'd never put any woman this high, since each season has 3 or 4 obvious guys you don't get rid of Episode 1, but Michaela proved that not only can woman be dominant challenge performers, they can flat out out-perform men in the right situations too. She could legitimately hold her own against any of these guys probably.

5. Caleb Reynolds - Read above basically, Caleb is one of the most gifted people the show has ever had physically, and we were robbed of more of him by the worst med-evac I've personally ever seen. Sure, Skupin fell in the fire and that was disgusting, but he's into some really bad s***, so I don't feel even a little bad for him anymore. Caleb, on the other hand, while a douche, is not the world's worst person, so I feel bad about him getting a golden opportunity snatched from him.

6. Brad Culpepper - OK, so I'm taking a bit of a gamble here! He pissed off a ton of people in his first season, he's an annoying braggart, and his social game is garbage! But he's also one of the 7 or 8 best challenge competitors on this season, so it makes no sense to get rid of him right away.

7. Aubry Bracco - If they are smart, they'll get rid of her quickly, but if they are smart, that quickly won't be Episode 1. She is a surprising challenge threat, and a heavy strategic mastermind. She just needs a better social game and she's a triple threat player.

8. Andrea Boehlke - We're in solidly "meh" category. This is the type of player who could be voted out first, but probably won't be, because of there being bigger targets on the tribe. She's not weak, from what I remember, so she's probably the safest of the bunch, but she could be in danger territory if there's a puzzle (there's always a puzzle) and she ends up botching it.

9. Tai Trang - Similarly to the above, he's not weak physically, but he's also an old man. He's not a huge threat, outside of his connections to the Kaoh Rong players playing, so it makes sense to keep him around in the early game unless you get him on the same team as Aubry and Caleb, two players with whom he has a strong connection. He has a chance to rise in these rankings if it comes out that either (or god-forgiving, both) are on the other tribe.

10. Zeke Smith - I don't believe the players playing saw MvGX before heading out to play this season, so they are going to know nothing about him or Michaela. Zeke is a player who is unspectacular on his own. He's surprising in challenges, and is pretty outside the box, which will be beneficial, but once his strategy starts to show, he could be in trouble. He might have the single biggest advantage possible from not having a previous season shown.

11. Sierra Dawn Thomas - She's not useless in challenges. She's probably safe if she can avoid messing everything up.

12. Troyzan Robertson - He's not useless in challenges. He's probably safe if he can avoid messing everything up.

13 (was 14). Sarah Lacina - She was originally on the brawn tribe for a reason. She's probably stronger than 2 or 3 women on whatever tribe she starts on, so she's probably not the first to go. Add in the fact she's not a strategic threat in the slightest, and could be an easy number to use (since she probably wants revenge on Tony), and she's likely safer than those below.

14 (was 15). Jeff Varner - He's failed to make the jury twice now, and both times for pretty obvious reasons. In his first season, he had a poor grasp on social alliances, and as a result a member leaked that he had gotten votes against him (and in the old format, it was a death blow), in his second season, he was a poor challenge performer who got hurt, and you can't keep a poor challenge performer, who has a bum ankle. Now everyone knows he's a hard and fast player. He needs to lay low or he's f***ed.

15 (was 16). Debbie Wanner - I'm not confident in her safety. She's annoying, she's got the Kaoh Rong target on her back, and she's not what I'd call great at challenges. Contrary to her belief, puzzles do not lay down for her like lovers.

16 (was 13). Hali Ford - I'll be honest, we're grasping at straws, there are a lot of people who could go first, and we're approaching the territory where they aren't so good at challenges that we can ignore the target on their back entering the game. Hali isn't threatening in the slightest, but she's not exactly an amazing performer.


17. Tony Vlachos - He's a huge threat entering the season, and he has very little chance of making it to the merge. Half of that struggle will be making it past the first episode. He's not weak at challenges, but he's not strong either, and he's a well known social threat, who has a huge bag of tricks at all times. Best to get rid of him early, before he gains momentum.

18. Sandra Diaz-Twine - I don't want to rank her at the very bottom. She's the obvious target. She's a poor challenge performer, and a two-time winner. It makes zero sense to keep her. Everyone wants to be the person who voted out the "queen". Her only hope is to end up on a good tribe in challenges. That's a 50-50 chance.

19 (was 20). Cirie Fields. Like what I said with Sandra, it's a 50-50 chance. And I think she's actually worse at challenges than Sandra, so I think it's 100% more likely she's gone. Hell, I could see a tribe throwing the first challenge to be rid of her, especially if she winds up with either player to play with her once, JT and Ozzy.... or worse. Both.

20 (was 19). Ciera Eastin - She's basically Tony, but a girl. And she once voted out her mom. Don't give her a chance or you'll regret it all season, because Jeff will keep talking about making big moves.


-----

SEASON RANKINGS (for my own amusement) (I would read these from 20 to 1st, since that's the order I wrote them in)

1. Sierra Dawn Thomas - She's the least deserving member of this cast if your criteria is how they've changed the game. She changed the game by NOT CHANGING THE GAME. That is literally her entire selling point besides the fact she can roll a barrel. She's not a terrible player, and she's not boring or anything, but she's not even the most game changery Sierra/Ciera/Cirie in the game. She's just an alternate for Natalie Anderson apparently, which really sucks, because NatAnd would be a fun player to have. Anyway, she wins because Survivor is terrible and the least deserving players always win because they aren't seen as threats. Worst case - 13th. She's so under the radar, I literally think it's impossible for her to not make the merge. Best case - winner. I mean, she's listed as the winner here, so what do you think?

2. Hali Ford - She's also kind of a goat? Difference between her and Tai is, I think she can draw a vote at the end. She showed the ability to make a move without coming off as a jerk, and her personality is infectious. Now that she has a chance to play with people who aren't cancer incarnate, I think she has a fantastic chance to improve her legacy and become a player worth remembering. Worst case - 16th. In the case of a double swap, she has a bit to worry about, particularly if she isn't on a tribe with a threat. Best case - 1st. She could win if she gets two goats to the end with her. She's just under the radar enough to not be seen as a threat, but just intelligent enough to be able to win the game, too.

3. Tai Trang - He barely speaks English, it doesn't matter how many times he gets to the Final Tribal Council, if he's up against anyone relatively well spoken, he's not winning this game. Obvious goat is obvious. Worst case - 20th. His social skills (or lack of in some cases) make him the most hit or miss player this side of Jeff Varner. He's either going to be loved and not a target, or rub people the wrong way and be an instant target. In both cases... Best case - 3rd, not a chance of winning.

4. J.T Thomas - If he doesn't win the final immunity challenge, he's screwed. Not any player left would bring him without a good reason, and I don't think the good reason will exist. I think he'll go back to more of his Tocantins style of gameplay, which is bad news for the rest of the players. And with how he hasn't graced our screens in a long time, he might not be seen as a threat right away. He played the first perfect game, but he also made one of the dumbest moves in Survivor history. Worst case - 13th. Think he hits the merge, but is too big a threat to be ignored. If the players are smart, they'll agree. Best case - 1st. He's the guy I want to win this season the most, but it's not terribly likely. He's too visible, but this is the best chance he'll have to be the 2nd member of the two-time winner club.

5. Troyzan Robertson - Not his island anymore! I think he's going to be a surprising presence on the season, mainly because he's the only player on this season who has no connections from a prior season! He's ok at challenges, but he's not threatening, and he doesn't scream social or strategic threat. He might even be a goat. But of the players left in the game, he might have too good a case to be left be. Worst case - 13th. I just don't think he has to worry until he hits the merge, in the slightest. Best case - 2nd. I don't think he has a chance of winning. But I also think he can draw a vote at the end, so you'd rather not bring him if you can help it.

6. Michaela Bradshaw - She's just too good at Survivor to win. So I don't think she gets any higher than this, likely. If she can get to FTC, she 100% wins the game, unless it's against someone like Malcolm or JT. I think she at least hits the merge, and she stick around because she does a good job of adapting from her previous game. Worst case - 16th. Second swap is her biggest obstacle. Getting by the first swap shouldn't be too hard. But if there's a second swap, she needs to be wary of her too hard too fast gameplay, since it's possible she ends up in a situation where someone from her original tribe talks about her to her new alliance mates from the first swap. If she does, she better have been straight with them, but not said too much. Best case - 4th. Don't think there's a chance they give her a chance at FTC unless they have to (IE - her or Sandra situation).

7. Brad Culpepper - I'm just going to put him here because I don't know where else I'd put him. Odds are by this point, the two warring factions have realized it's become a me game, and will ditch alliance lines they've picked up since the merge, in favor of sticking to their F2/3 plans. And of the players left, Brad is the only one I can see not having a date, so to speak. He's too abrasive to make the right friends, but he's good enough to win if you let him stick around. I'm not sure he actually gets any votes because of his behavior, but you really would rather not risk it, in this case. Worst case - 18th. f*** you Brad Culpepper! Best case - 4th, I just can't see anyone wanting to spend their last days with him.

8. Sarah Lacina - There are too many goats left in the game, or perceived goats. Of those players, Sarah stands out the most, because of her abrasive nature, and how she presents herself. I wouldn't want to be with her for too long. In this final 8 scenario, there are probably two warring factions battling to the end, and it will all come down to a swing vote. She's just not as likely to flip as one of the other players, so a swing vote could easily work against her. Worst case - 18th. If she swaps into a tribe with Tony in the majority, she's screwed. Best case - 3rd, FTC goat.

9. Malcolm Freberg - This is about where I expect him to finish. He's a strong challenge threat, and he's likable, so you won't get rid of him before the merge, likely. But he's a triple threat player who almost assuredly wins if he gets to the end. So what do you do to keep him from getting to the end? You vote him out, of course. Worst case - 13th. Hits the merge, but instantly gone. Best case - 1st. I mean, Mike did it, right? Who says he can't win literally every immunity challenge?

10. Zeke Smith - I don't think it makes sense to keep him around. He's not "known" to be a strategic threat, and if he can duck the weak spot in his game, then he won't be known as one until it is too late. His mistake in MvGX was revealing his gameplan way too soon, which is why he peaked and got voted out in epic fashion. But I think in this season, especially if the players before leave, he's going to stand out as more than a dude in a wacky shirt (side note - I do hope he wears a wacky shirt!). Worst case - 14th. If he gets exposed as a strategic threat, he'll be kept until just before the merge or the early merge. Best case - 1st. If he can keep the spotlight off of him, and not reveal his cards until it is too late (like David did in MvGX), then his ceiling is insurmountable

11. Aubry Bracco - Right after Debbie is eliminated, I think is the perfect time to blindside Aubry. She might be feeling a little safe since another member of the KR cast is gone (at this point it would be just her and Tai left). But not so fast! She's a clear threat, and you can't let her get a second chance at a FTC speech. Worst case - 16th. Either a swap or second swap could pose problematic, but it's more likely in a second swap than a first one, considering she's not useless. Best case - 1st. If she gets to FTC, I think she pretty solidly wins, just based on her past reputation of

12. Debbie Wanner - I seriously just think they'll get rid of her because she's annoying and no other reason. No seriously. That's it. Worst case - 20th. She could be voted out first if she gets unlucky. Best case - 3rd. She could be a FTC goat who draws a single vote. That's about all I could predict.

13. Ozzy Lusth - I'm assuming this is the time the merge happens, roughly. If it does, and Ozzy is still around, he's probably enemy #1. He once voted himself out just so he could eliminate people on Redemption Island. He's that confident in his physical ability. If I was on this season, I'd be wary of him. You cannot let him get on a tear, first chance you get, you get rid of him. He also has FTC experience, and you don't want to give him another chance there. Worst case - 15th. Best case - 4th. I don't think there's a single chance he gets to FTC. Like, in what world would you allow that if you were on the season?

14. Andrea Boehlke - I'd like to see her go further too! She's a fun, strategic threat, but the problem with that, is that once you get close to the merge, people get antsy, and if Cambodia is any indication, the merge will happen close to 13 or so people. This could be their last chance to get rid of her without throwing away a chance to get rid of an alpha. Worst case - 18th. Or whenever the swap happens. She could be seen as a huge threat, in addition to not being a strong physical player. Best case - 1st. She has a good chance to win if she can hit the merge. She's not threatening enough to get rid of once you get to the merge, but she's threatening enough that you have to target her before the merge. If she gets to the merge, she could slip by.

15. Caleb Reynolds - I imagine this is where things start to get interesting, and tribes become more willing to ditch physical threats. He's got a ton of connections (most notably with Tai), and he's got the recency bias in his favor. He may get a pity/sympathy pass due to his med-evac in his previous season, but I think even if he gets beyond here, it won't be much farther. And it will be a shame, because as a player he has a ton of potential. Worst case - 15th. Best case - 1st. Yeah, it might sound odd, but I think he has a chance (albeit a small one) at winning the game, because of how people might underestimate him. Unlike Tai and Aubry who had their games shown heavily, all that is really known about Beastmode Cowboy is that he's strong. If he can get to the merge, with his athleticism, he has a pretty good chance to win through, and he's good at making bonds.

16. Sandra Diaz-Twine - I hate to have her gone so soon, but I think there's only so far she can go on the "there's no way they let me win a third time, right?" argument. Her only hope is strong challenge performers carrying her to the merge, where she won't be as big of a target, but they have to lose sometime, and when they do, Sandra will be an inevitable target. I want her to go so much farther, but she's the only two-time winner in the history of the game, and no one will be stupid enough to let her slip by. Worst case - 20th. Best case - 4th. There's zero, zero chance she makes the FTC. If you get to the F4 immunity challenge, and she's still there, she will not win unless she's playing against three people with broken ankles. She's not playing with Russell this time, either. Or Johnny Fairplay. If it's a choice between her and Malcolm, whoever wins will almost assuredly prefer to bring Malcolm. No one would chance losing to Sandra, and let her win a third time.

17. Jeff Varner - I think this is about where Varner goes, because by now, it will have been about 10-12 days of being on the island with him, and I don't think he can contain his excitement for the game enough for him to stop being a target, when you consider his lack of physical strength. He needs to lay low, and I don't think it will happen. Worst case - 19th, no way he's the first boot, right? Best case - 4th. Yeah, that seems high, doesn't it? Jeff Varner might be the biggest boom or bust player in this game. He's either going to flame out, or he's going to be a huge strategic and social threat that somehow slips through to the Finale before everybody decides he's gone way too far.

18. Tony Vlachos - I would hate, hate, hate, to see this happen, but I figure by this point, there will have been either a swap or a third tribe, or some sort of twist, and this only hurts Tony, it doesn't help him, unless he gets put on a tribe with tons of challenge performers. The odds of that are low, and thus, so are his chances of avoiding Tribal Council three times in a row. Third time is the charm, and that's when they get rid of him. Worst case - 20th. Best case - 10th. I think he has a very very very small chance to hit the merge. And if he does, he might even avoid being the target for a small bit of time. But they'll come back to him once they've taken out the physical threats outside the main alliance, and there's no chance Tony will be in it.

19 (was 20th). Cirie Fields - As I said above, I believe there's a high chance she's gone early. You don't need to be a Survivor expert to see she's doomed from the outset. Worst case - 20th. Best case - doesn't even hit the merge, in any scenario I can imagine. I'd say 15th is her absolute ceiling. I imagine by then, there will be either a swap, or third tribe, and she'll be put with one of the players who will most likely want her gone. Totally screwed this season.

20 (was 19th). Ciera Eastin - This list may look a lot like the other list, but if we're being honest, she's entering this game with a huge target, recency bias, and a lack of challenge strength. Sandra has an easier argument for keeping her. Ciera has always demonstrated a desire to change the game up, and as a result, people might be afraid of her playing up to the theme. Worst case - 20th. Best case - No merge for her. I'd say 15th is probably the best she can do without a ton of luck.


Best of luck to anyone who wants to join in. If you want to, just leave your own rankings below!
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Sweet, I'm in. Now I have seen the rumored tribes (which could still be fake) but I won't mention any of it in my list. Until they're officially released that is.

Episode one rankings:

1.
Ozzy - Just a challenge monster, and with how many physical players are on this season you want as much strength as possible early on. Also pretty good at fitting in with the popular crowd (strong guys/girls). Can we also mention how he looks exactly like a young Cao Boi, who should have been on this season if we're talking Game Changers

2. Malcolm - Same reasons, except he's more of a strategic threat than Ozzy is so I put him at #2. He's way better at fitting in with everyone though. (
This guy is also who I want to win the season)

3. Caleb - Idem ^

4. Sierra DT - There are much bigger female threats than her, she's pretty and she's decent in challenges. Why get rid of her now.

5. JT - If any winner is making it far it's JT. Dude is more remembered for his HvV blunder than his amazing game in Tocantins. Also great in challenges and has a really good social game.

6. Michaela - Only reason I have her somewhat low is because she's a back-to-back player. People fear the unknown, so they might try and vote her out before she potentially does crazy damage. I think she learned a lot from last time though and she won't go guns blazing from the start. She's probably the strongest female on this cast so I don't think they'll get rid of her right away.

7. Tai - He's like-able, surprisingly good at challenges and after seeing his FTC performance I think people might want to try and drag him to the end again.

8. Sarah - She was on brawn in Cagayan; she's a strong female player so she shouldn't be first out on her tribe. If she and Tony are on the same tribe together she might get Francesca'd though.

9. Andrea - She's charming, decent in challenges and not the greatest strategic player. She's probably going to try and flirt with the men.

10. Hali - Extremely fun, good looking and not the worst challenge wise. 

11. Troyzan - He's good at challenges and was the only person besides Kim who had a brain in One World. He is the oldest castaway though, so I put him down at #12.

12.
Brad - Physical player, and if he keeps his mouth shut he won't get in trouble too early. He had an all guys thing going in BvW and with the guys on this season I can see it happening again. EDIT: moved him down quite a few spots (previously had him at 6) because I'm paranoid now that the intro is out

13. Debbie - Decent in challenges. Kaoh Rong was the last season they saw before filming though so her annoying strategy talk might put a sour taste in the mouths of others. Probably has 14 new jobs to show us though.

14. Tony - His over the top gameplay in Cagayan is probably going to bite him in the butt this season. With how buff he is I don't expect it to happen in episode 1.

15. Aubry - Fresh in everyone's minds as the strategic force in Kaoh Rong, she has a pretty big target on her back. The thing that might save her is that in the end she lost. I think she would have been more screwed if she was the final juror in Kaoh Rong.

16. Zeke - He's in a more dangerous position than Michaela is in because he's arguably one of the weakest men on the season. That and the unknown factor are big obstacles he'll have to overcome. Very charming though. Also has unknown connections to some other people like Andrea, because they played a fanmade survivor game together.

17. Varner - He might learn from Cambodia and he might not have pre-gamed as hard. If he talks with the right people, he can fit in with a lot of people.

18. Sandra - Two time winner, I don't think she has any chance of winning this season. I just don't want her out first because she's comedy gold.

19. Cirie - Just because she came back from such a low in HvV, similar to JT. People know that she can be beat and she's shown in the past that she's good at wiggling out of bad situations.

20. Ciera Eastin - With how much Jeff hyped her up and with the annoying strategy talk, she's one of the more likely candidates to be first boot. More than the others because Cirie is strong in brute force challenges, whereas Ciera is just bad in general.

---

I'll do a season prediction ranking when the cast and tribes are officially revealed
Sweet, I'm in. Now I have seen the rumored tribes (which could still be fake) but I won't mention any of it in my list. Until they're officially released that is.

Episode one rankings:

1.
Ozzy - Just a challenge monster, and with how many physical players are on this season you want as much strength as possible early on. Also pretty good at fitting in with the popular crowd (strong guys/girls). Can we also mention how he looks exactly like a young Cao Boi, who should have been on this season if we're talking Game Changers

2. Malcolm - Same reasons, except he's more of a strategic threat than Ozzy is so I put him at #2. He's way better at fitting in with everyone though. (
This guy is also who I want to win the season)

3. Caleb - Idem ^

4. Sierra DT - There are much bigger female threats than her, she's pretty and she's decent in challenges. Why get rid of her now.

5. JT - If any winner is making it far it's JT. Dude is more remembered for his HvV blunder than his amazing game in Tocantins. Also great in challenges and has a really good social game.

6. Michaela - Only reason I have her somewhat low is because she's a back-to-back player. People fear the unknown, so they might try and vote her out before she potentially does crazy damage. I think she learned a lot from last time though and she won't go guns blazing from the start. She's probably the strongest female on this cast so I don't think they'll get rid of her right away.

7. Tai - He's like-able, surprisingly good at challenges and after seeing his FTC performance I think people might want to try and drag him to the end again.

8. Sarah - She was on brawn in Cagayan; she's a strong female player so she shouldn't be first out on her tribe. If she and Tony are on the same tribe together she might get Francesca'd though.

9. Andrea - She's charming, decent in challenges and not the greatest strategic player. She's probably going to try and flirt with the men.

10. Hali - Extremely fun, good looking and not the worst challenge wise. 

11. Troyzan - He's good at challenges and was the only person besides Kim who had a brain in One World. He is the oldest castaway though, so I put him down at #12.

12.
Brad - Physical player, and if he keeps his mouth shut he won't get in trouble too early. He had an all guys thing going in BvW and with the guys on this season I can see it happening again. EDIT: moved him down quite a few spots (previously had him at 6) because I'm paranoid now that the intro is out

13. Debbie - Decent in challenges. Kaoh Rong was the last season they saw before filming though so her annoying strategy talk might put a sour taste in the mouths of others. Probably has 14 new jobs to show us though.

14. Tony - His over the top gameplay in Cagayan is probably going to bite him in the butt this season. With how buff he is I don't expect it to happen in episode 1.

15. Aubry - Fresh in everyone's minds as the strategic force in Kaoh Rong, she has a pretty big target on her back. The thing that might save her is that in the end she lost. I think she would have been more screwed if she was the final juror in Kaoh Rong.

16. Zeke - He's in a more dangerous position than Michaela is in because he's arguably one of the weakest men on the season. That and the unknown factor are big obstacles he'll have to overcome. Very charming though. Also has unknown connections to some other people like Andrea, because they played a fanmade survivor game together.

17. Varner - He might learn from Cambodia and he might not have pre-gamed as hard. If he talks with the right people, he can fit in with a lot of people.

18. Sandra - Two time winner, I don't think she has any chance of winning this season. I just don't want her out first because she's comedy gold.

19. Cirie - Just because she came back from such a low in HvV, similar to JT. People know that she can be beat and she's shown in the past that she's good at wiggling out of bad situations.

20. Ciera Eastin - With how much Jeff hyped her up and with the annoying strategy talk, she's one of the more likely candidates to be first boot. More than the others because Cirie is strong in brute force challenges, whereas Ciera is just bad in general.

---

I'll do a season prediction ranking when the cast and tribes are officially revealed
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Ok so the first episode is coming really soon. I guess I'll do my season prediction ranking for the fun of it. First time I'm doing this so I'll probably do bad lol.

1.
Sarah - I think Sarah's winning. I think she learned a lot from her last game and that she should be more quiet. But I still see her calling some of the shots and making moves. Compare it to Aras, where he was kind of the second in command in that alliance and wins after the frontrunner is taken out near the end.

2. Tai - Same with Tai, but he's so likeable that he might get a vote or two. Particularly from Ozzy, because Ozzy nominated him alongside Andrea for the Hall of Fame. Makes me think that they'll be great friends, and Ozzy has shown in the past that he votes based on who he likes more.

3. Hali - I think she'll be a follower and not a leader. I don't think the jury will give her votes because she was riding coattails. Which sucks because she's my favorite among my final 3.

4. Sierra DT - Final boot. Because I feel like she'd be on the best terms with all the guys on my jury. Also think she'll be the head of an alliance that is calling most of the shots.

5. Troyzan - I REALLY want him to win the F6 immunity in my scenario so we'll see the whole "This is MY island" thing again. I can see him being the final obstacle to the female alliance again. He's a dark horse that could go deep.

6. Debbie - Speaking of female dominance, I have a gut feeling Debbie's getting backstabbed again this season. Also she might still go rather early so I won't put her higher than this.

7. Malcolm - I want him to win really bad but I fear that he'll go somewhere mid jury so I put him in the middle of the two. Really charming player. Also, I feel like there'll be some sort of female dominance near the endgame. 

8. JT - He'll be the winner that goes far. He just needs to play up the HvV act, make everyone believe that he'll trust them. Because, well, he trusted Russel Hantz.

9. Varner - I really believe that Varner makes the jury this time. He's just too likeable to take him far into the game.

10. Michaela - After getting rid of the strongest male, get rid of the strongest female. At this point I don't think she can hide how good she is anymore. I see her going further than Zeke but I doubt an initially unknown factor like her is going deep.

11. Ozzy - I believe that the moment Ozzy loses immunity he's out. Like Joe in both of his seasons. Nobody here is dumb enough to keep Ozzy around for long after the merge. He also nominated Andrea for hall of fame pick last year so they're probably in one alliance.

12. Andrea - A tad naive, I think she'll overplay after hitting the merge. IDK gut feeling she's early jury.

13. Brad - I think he's going to be a good merge boot candidate. He's strong but not as strong as some of the other players, and who would want to play an idol on Brad Culpepper to save him. It's a safe vote, and I don't think any HvV merge stuff is going to happen here. Also nobody wants to draw rocks for Culpepper.

14. Aubry - Get rid of half the Kaoh Rong people before the merge so they don't do a crazy amount of damage. She's the most dangerous one out of all of them, great choice to boot right before the merge.

15. Caleb - I just hope this happens so he's off my screen as soon as possible. 

16. Tony - I don't have high hopes for Tony reaching the merge so I'll put him here.

17. Zeke - Unknown factor. I could see him getting swap-f***ed again. I don't see him going very far.

18. Cirie - Throwing someone from Nuku here in case they do lose an early challenge. I wouldn't trust Cirie and she's arguably the weakest link in challenges on that team. Good person to get rid of after a potential swap.

19. Sandra - I think Mana is losing the first two challenges so I'll put her here, even though I hate doing it. Just too many people want her out asap. She'll still be queen though.

20. Ciera Eastin - Look at my previous list, it's episode one so my reasonings are the same.
Ok so the first episode is coming really soon. I guess I'll do my season prediction ranking for the fun of it. First time I'm doing this so I'll probably do bad lol.

1.
Sarah - I think Sarah's winning. I think she learned a lot from her last game and that she should be more quiet. But I still see her calling some of the shots and making moves. Compare it to Aras, where he was kind of the second in command in that alliance and wins after the frontrunner is taken out near the end.

2. Tai - Same with Tai, but he's so likeable that he might get a vote or two. Particularly from Ozzy, because Ozzy nominated him alongside Andrea for the Hall of Fame. Makes me think that they'll be great friends, and Ozzy has shown in the past that he votes based on who he likes more.

3. Hali - I think she'll be a follower and not a leader. I don't think the jury will give her votes because she was riding coattails. Which sucks because she's my favorite among my final 3.

4. Sierra DT - Final boot. Because I feel like she'd be on the best terms with all the guys on my jury. Also think she'll be the head of an alliance that is calling most of the shots.

5. Troyzan - I REALLY want him to win the F6 immunity in my scenario so we'll see the whole "This is MY island" thing again. I can see him being the final obstacle to the female alliance again. He's a dark horse that could go deep.

6. Debbie - Speaking of female dominance, I have a gut feeling Debbie's getting backstabbed again this season. Also she might still go rather early so I won't put her higher than this.

7. Malcolm - I want him to win really bad but I fear that he'll go somewhere mid jury so I put him in the middle of the two. Really charming player. Also, I feel like there'll be some sort of female dominance near the endgame. 

8. JT - He'll be the winner that goes far. He just needs to play up the HvV act, make everyone believe that he'll trust them. Because, well, he trusted Russel Hantz.

9. Varner - I really believe that Varner makes the jury this time. He's just too likeable to take him far into the game.

10. Michaela - After getting rid of the strongest male, get rid of the strongest female. At this point I don't think she can hide how good she is anymore. I see her going further than Zeke but I doubt an initially unknown factor like her is going deep.

11. Ozzy - I believe that the moment Ozzy loses immunity he's out. Like Joe in both of his seasons. Nobody here is dumb enough to keep Ozzy around for long after the merge. He also nominated Andrea for hall of fame pick last year so they're probably in one alliance.

12. Andrea - A tad naive, I think she'll overplay after hitting the merge. IDK gut feeling she's early jury.

13. Brad - I think he's going to be a good merge boot candidate. He's strong but not as strong as some of the other players, and who would want to play an idol on Brad Culpepper to save him. It's a safe vote, and I don't think any HvV merge stuff is going to happen here. Also nobody wants to draw rocks for Culpepper.

14. Aubry - Get rid of half the Kaoh Rong people before the merge so they don't do a crazy amount of damage. She's the most dangerous one out of all of them, great choice to boot right before the merge.

15. Caleb - I just hope this happens so he's off my screen as soon as possible. 

16. Tony - I don't have high hopes for Tony reaching the merge so I'll put him here.

17. Zeke - Unknown factor. I could see him getting swap-f***ed again. I don't see him going very far.

18. Cirie - Throwing someone from Nuku here in case they do lose an early challenge. I wouldn't trust Cirie and she's arguably the weakest link in challenges on that team. Good person to get rid of after a potential swap.

19. Sandra - I think Mana is losing the first two challenges so I'll put her here, even though I hate doing it. Just too many people want her out asap. She'll still be queen though.

20. Ciera Eastin - Look at my previous list, it's episode one so my reasonings are the same.
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So, in case this wasn't clear, this thread will always contain spoilers for the most recent episode. You've been warned.

Furret :

Summoning you to see the new update. Hopefully you won't just steal my rankings. Honor system!

Episode 2 Power Rankings.

1. Brad Culpepper - He had a great premiere, and that's why he's ranked #1 for next week. You might be asking, "well what did he do? I forgot he was on this season", and that my friend, is the point. He avoided ruffling any feathers. Instead, Tai and Cirie are the main targets on Nuku (although it's worth noting the preview teased a swap or expansion), and he's a physical player that tribes aren't likely going to be willing to lose. Brad is in a very good position.

2. Sarah Lacina - I am not a big fan of hers. Thought she was crap in Cagayan, and have no idea why she was asked back. But she managed to make herself into a player in one episode by saying she's going to play this game like a criminal instead of a cop. She needs to play this game with less honesty if she wants to get farther.

3. Michaela Bradshaw - She scared me a bit in the first hour of the episode with her mini explosion, but judging from how it was a unanimous 9-1 vote in her favor (sending Ciera home), I'm going to sweep that little spat under the rug. She's a physical presence, and with a tribe swap/expansion, she has a chance to really shine. I don't have any solid evidence that makes me believe she's going further, but she's making a concerted effort to change, which is why she's around, despite being an unknown, and Tony isn't, despite being a great player. Also, credit to her for voting Tony. Especially with the swap/expansion coming up. She took out the threat before the threat could take her out.

4. Troyzan Robertson - Much like Brad, he's got himself in a nice position, the biggest difference is he's been called out by Tony (who isn't in the game anymore), so everyone knows he and Sandra are open to 4 AM conversations with each other. He's here to play, but he's going to need to lay low a bit. He did his move, now he needs to get to the merge and let the players kill each other.

5. Sierra Dawn Thomas - Fairly certain she was invisible. I don't really have any reason to drop her lower than 5th, so I'm not going to do it. She's on the winning tribe, so it's not like we're going to be getting much in the way of content anyways. Additionally, with a swap, she's not the weakest woman, or the biggest threat, so she's likely safe.

6. Andrea Boehlke - Read above, more or less. She said a couple things. But she was largely invisible and isn't the weakest woman, or really close to it. She could be a real threat to go deep in this season.

7. Aubry Bracco - She made a calculated play that proves how good she is at reading situations. She (along with Caleb, for whatever reason, I'd like to hear his) voted out her alliance-mate, Tony, instead of chasing a potentially bigger threat in Sandra, when it's entirely possible they could have had the numbers. But rather than take that risky play, she plays it safe, and STILL manages to get out a big threat. Some times, the best moves are the ones you don't make. Sandra is never going to win an immunity challenge. There will be a chance to get her out. There might not have been a better one to take out Tony, and avoid making waves.

8. Zeke Smith - He's got options. He can either go with the guys and target Cirie (who he's in love with but admittedly very wary of), or go with Cirie, and take out a threat like Ozzy. In either case, it's not his name being thrown around, so he has very little to fear from anyone in Nuku, post-swap, everyone wants to work with him, and adding more people to the mix is only going to exacerbate that.

9. Debbie Wanner - Say what you want, but she has excellent reads if her read on Cirie is any indication in what type of game she'll play this time. She detected Cirie's BS from a mile away, and is saying the right things to avoid making herself the target. This will serve her well as long as she can avoid being a liability in challenges.

10. Hali Ford - We got to see a lot of her cute face on screen this week, but it was mostly as someone who was smiling and nodding. In a way, that's all she needs to do. She did make some statements that make me think she can be the winner of this season, but also a statement that makes me think she could be sunk by some loose lips.

11. Tai Trang - Here's where target territory well and truly begins. Tai made some errors in communication, which could make him a target for both Ozzy and Cirie, and he's also been pissing off JT by feeding all their food to the chickens. Despite all that, he's very clearly an early choice for the "goat" of the game, so he could go very very far, even if he plays poorly.

12. Ozzy Lusth - I could see Ozzy going, especially in a swap, if he gets swapped with Cirie and a couple of other players who want physical threats out of the game. Ozzy is so ridiculously talented in the water, that you have to get rid of him as an equalizer. His prospects are still pretty good, but he could be very easily swap-f***ed, thanks to Tai's loose lips.

13. Malcolm Freberg - Unlike Ozzy, JT, etc, he's not a true challenge beast. He's strong in challenges, certainly, and he caught fire in that second immunity challenge and almost singlehandedly kept Tony safe for all of us viewers at home. But this also makes him a bigger target, especially now that Tony's gone. Vital that he recover with whoever his new tribe is, and try to play a better social game. Right now, it feels he's lacking there.

14. Cirie Fields - It's hard to tell what her prospects are, since she's never lost a challenge yet. But she's talking to everyone, and seemingly has a few hooks in. She could still be gone, with a bad swap, but I'm (unfortunately) thinking she gets closer to the merge.

15. JT Thomas - I might just be catching Tony's paranoia, but I've got this big fear whenever a castaway is exhibited so heavily in the preview. He seems to go full on crazy, and he's looking to change the game up. We saw Tony's attempt fail dramatically, and the same with Ciera. I think early on, people will want to get rid of players like that, so JT is in deep trouble, early, unfortunately.

16. Jeff Varner - Kind of amazed after his unwillingness to get in the water in the IC that he didn't get brought up as a target for being a weak link. Surely no one would have objected, thinking Varner was crucial to the team. I think he's infinitely more likely to go home next week as a result of stuff like that. He needs to put his foot on the gas, and play the game, or it is going to leave him behind.

17. Sandra Diaz-Twine - I just get the feeling that a lot of the players in the game are more than willing to write her name down, and with the other "winner" target gone in Tony, she has fewer big targets around. With how bad she is in challenges, I think it would have been better for her to keep Tony around, and try to work with Tony in taking down a Varner or so. She's not long for this game, I think. Plus, she took out Tony basically so I'm mad at her, so this is my revenge placement.

18. Caleb Reynolds - To me, no player comes out of this week looking worse despite being a strong challenge performer. Socially, he didn't say the things he needed to, to convince people to vote his way, then he flipped and voted for Tony anyway. It was good of him to get the read of the situation, but it was terrible of him to lose Tony. He's now the biggest meat shield for most of the other players left, which puts him on the chopping block. I liked his relationship with Tony, but he's left holding the bag, having no true partner to work with. No one has to scramble next week like he does.

RANKINGS
Team Leggy - 37 (Ciera 20th, Tony 17th)
Team Nick - 6 (Tony 1st, Ciera 5th)
Team Furret - 34 (Ciera 20th, Tony 14th)
Team Gordon - 37 (Tony 20th, Ciera 17th)
Team Adam - 38 (Tony 20th, Ciera 18th)

So it's a pretty close race... at least at the top. The top four are within 4 points of each other, which is more than possible to make up over the season. And going in blind, getting 30+ points is extremely good. Only one person misread the field, and it's entirely possible he just sent his rankings in, in inverse order. If so, he'll be auto-corrected to 36, which would put him in 4th.

Next week, we have a swap/expansion, and hidden idols at challenges again. Who knows what will happen?
So, in case this wasn't clear, this thread will always contain spoilers for the most recent episode. You've been warned.

Furret :

Summoning you to see the new update. Hopefully you won't just steal my rankings. Honor system!

Episode 2 Power Rankings.

1. Brad Culpepper - He had a great premiere, and that's why he's ranked #1 for next week. You might be asking, "well what did he do? I forgot he was on this season", and that my friend, is the point. He avoided ruffling any feathers. Instead, Tai and Cirie are the main targets on Nuku (although it's worth noting the preview teased a swap or expansion), and he's a physical player that tribes aren't likely going to be willing to lose. Brad is in a very good position.

2. Sarah Lacina - I am not a big fan of hers. Thought she was crap in Cagayan, and have no idea why she was asked back. But she managed to make herself into a player in one episode by saying she's going to play this game like a criminal instead of a cop. She needs to play this game with less honesty if she wants to get farther.

3. Michaela Bradshaw - She scared me a bit in the first hour of the episode with her mini explosion, but judging from how it was a unanimous 9-1 vote in her favor (sending Ciera home), I'm going to sweep that little spat under the rug. She's a physical presence, and with a tribe swap/expansion, she has a chance to really shine. I don't have any solid evidence that makes me believe she's going further, but she's making a concerted effort to change, which is why she's around, despite being an unknown, and Tony isn't, despite being a great player. Also, credit to her for voting Tony. Especially with the swap/expansion coming up. She took out the threat before the threat could take her out.

4. Troyzan Robertson - Much like Brad, he's got himself in a nice position, the biggest difference is he's been called out by Tony (who isn't in the game anymore), so everyone knows he and Sandra are open to 4 AM conversations with each other. He's here to play, but he's going to need to lay low a bit. He did his move, now he needs to get to the merge and let the players kill each other.

5. Sierra Dawn Thomas - Fairly certain she was invisible. I don't really have any reason to drop her lower than 5th, so I'm not going to do it. She's on the winning tribe, so it's not like we're going to be getting much in the way of content anyways. Additionally, with a swap, she's not the weakest woman, or the biggest threat, so she's likely safe.

6. Andrea Boehlke - Read above, more or less. She said a couple things. But she was largely invisible and isn't the weakest woman, or really close to it. She could be a real threat to go deep in this season.

7. Aubry Bracco - She made a calculated play that proves how good she is at reading situations. She (along with Caleb, for whatever reason, I'd like to hear his) voted out her alliance-mate, Tony, instead of chasing a potentially bigger threat in Sandra, when it's entirely possible they could have had the numbers. But rather than take that risky play, she plays it safe, and STILL manages to get out a big threat. Some times, the best moves are the ones you don't make. Sandra is never going to win an immunity challenge. There will be a chance to get her out. There might not have been a better one to take out Tony, and avoid making waves.

8. Zeke Smith - He's got options. He can either go with the guys and target Cirie (who he's in love with but admittedly very wary of), or go with Cirie, and take out a threat like Ozzy. In either case, it's not his name being thrown around, so he has very little to fear from anyone in Nuku, post-swap, everyone wants to work with him, and adding more people to the mix is only going to exacerbate that.

9. Debbie Wanner - Say what you want, but she has excellent reads if her read on Cirie is any indication in what type of game she'll play this time. She detected Cirie's BS from a mile away, and is saying the right things to avoid making herself the target. This will serve her well as long as she can avoid being a liability in challenges.

10. Hali Ford - We got to see a lot of her cute face on screen this week, but it was mostly as someone who was smiling and nodding. In a way, that's all she needs to do. She did make some statements that make me think she can be the winner of this season, but also a statement that makes me think she could be sunk by some loose lips.

11. Tai Trang - Here's where target territory well and truly begins. Tai made some errors in communication, which could make him a target for both Ozzy and Cirie, and he's also been pissing off JT by feeding all their food to the chickens. Despite all that, he's very clearly an early choice for the "goat" of the game, so he could go very very far, even if he plays poorly.

12. Ozzy Lusth - I could see Ozzy going, especially in a swap, if he gets swapped with Cirie and a couple of other players who want physical threats out of the game. Ozzy is so ridiculously talented in the water, that you have to get rid of him as an equalizer. His prospects are still pretty good, but he could be very easily swap-f***ed, thanks to Tai's loose lips.

13. Malcolm Freberg - Unlike Ozzy, JT, etc, he's not a true challenge beast. He's strong in challenges, certainly, and he caught fire in that second immunity challenge and almost singlehandedly kept Tony safe for all of us viewers at home. But this also makes him a bigger target, especially now that Tony's gone. Vital that he recover with whoever his new tribe is, and try to play a better social game. Right now, it feels he's lacking there.

14. Cirie Fields - It's hard to tell what her prospects are, since she's never lost a challenge yet. But she's talking to everyone, and seemingly has a few hooks in. She could still be gone, with a bad swap, but I'm (unfortunately) thinking she gets closer to the merge.

15. JT Thomas - I might just be catching Tony's paranoia, but I've got this big fear whenever a castaway is exhibited so heavily in the preview. He seems to go full on crazy, and he's looking to change the game up. We saw Tony's attempt fail dramatically, and the same with Ciera. I think early on, people will want to get rid of players like that, so JT is in deep trouble, early, unfortunately.

16. Jeff Varner - Kind of amazed after his unwillingness to get in the water in the IC that he didn't get brought up as a target for being a weak link. Surely no one would have objected, thinking Varner was crucial to the team. I think he's infinitely more likely to go home next week as a result of stuff like that. He needs to put his foot on the gas, and play the game, or it is going to leave him behind.

17. Sandra Diaz-Twine - I just get the feeling that a lot of the players in the game are more than willing to write her name down, and with the other "winner" target gone in Tony, she has fewer big targets around. With how bad she is in challenges, I think it would have been better for her to keep Tony around, and try to work with Tony in taking down a Varner or so. She's not long for this game, I think. Plus, she took out Tony basically so I'm mad at her, so this is my revenge placement.

18. Caleb Reynolds - To me, no player comes out of this week looking worse despite being a strong challenge performer. Socially, he didn't say the things he needed to, to convince people to vote his way, then he flipped and voted for Tony anyway. It was good of him to get the read of the situation, but it was terrible of him to lose Tony. He's now the biggest meat shield for most of the other players left, which puts him on the chopping block. I liked his relationship with Tony, but he's left holding the bag, having no true partner to work with. No one has to scramble next week like he does.

RANKINGS
Team Leggy - 37 (Ciera 20th, Tony 17th)
Team Nick - 6 (Tony 1st, Ciera 5th)
Team Furret - 34 (Ciera 20th, Tony 14th)
Team Gordon - 37 (Tony 20th, Ciera 17th)
Team Adam - 38 (Tony 20th, Ciera 18th)

So it's a pretty close race... at least at the top. The top four are within 4 points of each other, which is more than possible to make up over the season. And going in blind, getting 30+ points is extremely good. Only one person misread the field, and it's entirely possible he just sent his rankings in, in inverse order. If so, he'll be auto-corrected to 36, which would put him in 4th.

Next week, we have a swap/expansion, and hidden idols at challenges again. Who knows what will happen?
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Episode 2 rankings: 


1. Sierra - Think they would have given her some more focus last episode if she gets voted out now, with her finding the legacy advantage and all. She didn't make any bonds with people so I don't think she'll go this episode.

2. Brad - I've grown from disliking him to liking him really quickly lol. He got a really positive edit last episode so I think he'll end up in a good spot after the swap.

3. Sarah - Feel like we'll see more of her after that confessional in episode 1. Doubt she goes so soon after they showed us a statement like that.

4. Troyzan - I'm positive he finds that clue next episode. And if they hype the clue then he'll probably find the idol. Idol = safe. Pretty sound logic if you ask me. But he's most likely in the minority so I'll put him at 4.

5. Debbie - I mean hard to put in words but she's weird. Good read on people but the way she goes about things is just odd.

6. Andrea - She's sneaky and idk, wouldn't trust her if I were them. 

7. Michaela - Last member of that hyped tribe, I think she's safest among all of them though. If she doesn't cause arguments all over the place lol.

8. Tai - He loves all animal. Nah but Tai might be in trouble because he clearly showed that he struggles with trusting people and telling them the truth vs. lying to them. He's the perfect goat though and he's not the absolute worst in challenges.

9. Hali - 67% chance of being in the minority, not the greatest in challenges and some people might think she doesn't deserve to be there or something. (<3 Hali) Decent goat material though so why get her out now.

10. Ozzy - I feel like he'd win Ozzy vs. Cirie because of his challenge strength. And you'd think that with him on your tribe you can at least come second every challenge.

11. Malcolm - He might get too cocky. Doubt it though but I can't risk it.

12. Zeke - The fact that he's so in awe of being able to work with Cirie might end up with him getting sacrificed by Cirie to save herself. Not that strong in challenges. Unknown threat (although it's been like a week already) 

13. Aubry - On the hyped tribe, weakest one out of the people remaining + she got votes last tribal council (which were throwaway votes but still). I didn't get a great vibe coming from her in episode 1 either.

14. Caleb - 67% chance of being in the minority on his new tribe (idk math might be off but good chance either way). I can see the Nuku members keeping Hali or Troyzan over him.

15. Cirie - 50% chance of being together with Ozzy. The fact that they kind of hinted at a rivalry between the two in the first episode has me worried for Cirie (well not worried but she'd be in a s*** position lol)

16. JT - Putting him here solely for the fact that he's going apes*** next episode and is the sole member of Nuku on that new tribe. Never a fun position.

17. Sandra - Even though Mana has the majority on this new tribe I'm putting Sandra at 17 because they'll need strength going forward. You don't get rid of your strongest competitors right at the start of a swap, even if they're the sole member from their original tribe. Or you'll lose all the next ones as well lol. 

18. Varner - With how much they hyped up Nuku v2 I'm guessing they lose. I mean they do have two of the worst challenge performers on their tribe of 6 lol. I just #pray4sandra so putting Varner here.
Episode 2 rankings: 


1. Sierra - Think they would have given her some more focus last episode if she gets voted out now, with her finding the legacy advantage and all. She didn't make any bonds with people so I don't think she'll go this episode.

2. Brad - I've grown from disliking him to liking him really quickly lol. He got a really positive edit last episode so I think he'll end up in a good spot after the swap.

3. Sarah - Feel like we'll see more of her after that confessional in episode 1. Doubt she goes so soon after they showed us a statement like that.

4. Troyzan - I'm positive he finds that clue next episode. And if they hype the clue then he'll probably find the idol. Idol = safe. Pretty sound logic if you ask me. But he's most likely in the minority so I'll put him at 4.

5. Debbie - I mean hard to put in words but she's weird. Good read on people but the way she goes about things is just odd.

6. Andrea - She's sneaky and idk, wouldn't trust her if I were them. 

7. Michaela - Last member of that hyped tribe, I think she's safest among all of them though. If she doesn't cause arguments all over the place lol.

8. Tai - He loves all animal. Nah but Tai might be in trouble because he clearly showed that he struggles with trusting people and telling them the truth vs. lying to them. He's the perfect goat though and he's not the absolute worst in challenges.

9. Hali - 67% chance of being in the minority, not the greatest in challenges and some people might think she doesn't deserve to be there or something. (<3 Hali) Decent goat material though so why get her out now.

10. Ozzy - I feel like he'd win Ozzy vs. Cirie because of his challenge strength. And you'd think that with him on your tribe you can at least come second every challenge.

11. Malcolm - He might get too cocky. Doubt it though but I can't risk it.

12. Zeke - The fact that he's so in awe of being able to work with Cirie might end up with him getting sacrificed by Cirie to save herself. Not that strong in challenges. Unknown threat (although it's been like a week already) 

13. Aubry - On the hyped tribe, weakest one out of the people remaining + she got votes last tribal council (which were throwaway votes but still). I didn't get a great vibe coming from her in episode 1 either.

14. Caleb - 67% chance of being in the minority on his new tribe (idk math might be off but good chance either way). I can see the Nuku members keeping Hali or Troyzan over him.

15. Cirie - 50% chance of being together with Ozzy. The fact that they kind of hinted at a rivalry between the two in the first episode has me worried for Cirie (well not worried but she'd be in a s*** position lol)

16. JT - Putting him here solely for the fact that he's going apes*** next episode and is the sole member of Nuku on that new tribe. Never a fun position.

17. Sandra - Even though Mana has the majority on this new tribe I'm putting Sandra at 17 because they'll need strength going forward. You don't get rid of your strongest competitors right at the start of a swap, even if they're the sole member from their original tribe. Or you'll lose all the next ones as well lol. 

18. Varner - With how much they hyped up Nuku v2 I'm guessing they lose. I mean they do have two of the worst challenge performers on their tribe of 6 lol. I just #pray4sandra so putting Varner here.
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Episode 3 Power Rankings

1. Michaela Bradshaw - I'm putting her here, because honestly, I don't f***ing know. Seems we have a double tribal next week? As a result, no less than 12 players are vulnerable. There are only 5 or 6 players I would feel confident as calling safe next week, and Michaela is the strongest of those players, on the whole. She's not a mid-season winner pick or anything, but I like her to go farther than last time, at least.

2. Troyzan Robertson - I mean, he has the f***ing idol. Of course he has the f***ing idol. And he KNOWS the other players are coming for him! If he goes to tribal, there's a 100% chance he plays the idol on himself. Come on. It's a gimme!

3. Sarah Lacina - Physically, she's not the weakest woman, and I get the feeling this season is going to be dominated by them. She's going to get to the merge at this rate, and I don't see why anyone would want to take her out, now that she's got no ties to prior seasons.

4. Sierra Dawn Thomas - She has the Legacy Advantage, she's going to be as under the radar as possible, so she doesn't have to will it. Seems like a very easy week for her, all things told. Honestly, the top 3 players in the Mana alliance are probably safe. Hali and one of Tai/Debbie are on the outs. Not sure which one, though.

5. Ozzy Lusth - It makes zero sense to get rid of Ozzy at this stage. Zero. You need him just to get to the merge. Ride him and your entire tribe makes it with how weak each tribe is starting to get. Once you get to the merge, he's out the first time he loses a challenge. It's very f***ing simple, so don't mess it up, Ozzy.

6. Andrea Boehlke - You are probably starting to notice a pattern here, I'm calling the players who are safe very meh. Michaela and Ozzy are awesome, but they are also the backbone of Nuku and Tavua respectively. You need to keep those two to keep your edge over Mana. Andrea will stick with Ozzy, and enjoy his fish catching skills.

7. Aubry Bracco - She's still a threat, don't get me wrong, but the focus is off her. On Nuku, you have JT, Malcolm, Michaela, AND Sandra. The tribe is absolutely stacked. This tribe probably isn't losing many challenges, if any, and on top of that, if they do lose, you have two winners, Malcolm, and the unknown in Michaela to contend with. JT is also from a minority, so he's more likely to be a target than Aubry. And JT is probably angling to take out more a Sandra or Malcolm than an Aubry.

8. Brad Culpepper - I'm liking him less than I did last week, as I think he's less safe now that his tribe has lost a challenge, but he's doing the right things. He let Tai call the shots, and got out the player he wanted to take out anyways. That's winning, and deserving of being in the top half to be perfectly honest. He's one of the bigger challenge threats left, already, so I think his tribe will want to preserve strength, now that Caleb is gone.

9. Hali Ford - Here's where things get interesting. Hali has been playing an incredibly smart game, and I see it as fairly likely she continues to do this. With this in mind, I'm not concerned that she's on the bottom, because she was able to convince a tribe she JUST SWITCHED ON TO, to get rid of the BIGGEST CHALLENGE COMPETITOR they had. Losing Caleb means they probably lose again. But I think she can finnagle it into being about Debbie, rather than about her.

10. Zeke Smith - We haven't seen a whole lot from Zeke, but he's probably going to be fine, based on who he's in a tribe with. Troyzan could idol him out, which is why he's not high up, I don't trust Troyzan to make a good decision, since he's Troyzan, but Zeke shouldn't be the target here. For all the talk of his strategic acumen, he's not even the most strategic player on his tribe. Take out Cirie. Take out Ozzy (physical threat). Hell, take out Andrea (very sneaky). Zeke is an unknown and this hurts his stock, but Troyzan and Zeke should get along fine, and I see no reason for Troyzan to take him out.

11. Tai Trang - I think he's still a goat. But he's also more likely to go home than he was a week ago, thanks to the vote out of what could have been his closest ally. What he does next week is crucial to his game.

12. Jeff Varner - I deserve to lose points if Varner goes home. He makes a lot of sense to take out, but that's the thing. He makes too much sense right now. Thus, he'll be carried to the merge and kept as a potential goat option. We'll see how he changes up his game, he's not winning like this.

13. Malcolm Freberg - I don't feel comfortable with saying he's safe. JT is on a tribe with him, and Sandra is just too easy of a target. You can always get her out. But Malcolm could coast to the end of the game if you let him. If JT is smart, JT will take out Malcolm instead. Michaela, Sandra, and Aubry are a group he could work with. Let's see what happens, but I'm not calling Malcolm safe anymore, now that we've seen even the best challenge competitors can go home.

14. Cirie Fields - If two people go home, there's a good chance Cirie is one of them, but not a 100% chance. She's in the majority on her tribe, but she's been screwed in this type of situation in the past. And Ozzy is one of the people who could screw her. She got stuck with many players who are wary of her, and Cirie has every reason to be nervous next week.

15. Debbie Wanner - She's from KR, like Tai, and one KR player just went for having connections. There are still three KR's left in this game, and she is not good at challenges. She's on the chopping block, even if she doesn't realize it.

16. Sandra Diaz Twine - JT is after her, according to the preview. She's a two time winner. You do the math.

17. JT Thomas - We've seen this rodeo before. Sandra took down Tony, and she has JT in the minority. Would take a miracle for him to not get voted out. Here's me praying.

RANKINGS
Team Leggy - 55 (Caleb 18th)
Team Nick - 13 (Caleb 7th)
Team Furret - 48 (Caleb 14th)
Team Gordon - 53 (Caleb 16th)
Team Adam - 56 (Caleb 18th)
Episode 3 Power Rankings

1. Michaela Bradshaw - I'm putting her here, because honestly, I don't f***ing know. Seems we have a double tribal next week? As a result, no less than 12 players are vulnerable. There are only 5 or 6 players I would feel confident as calling safe next week, and Michaela is the strongest of those players, on the whole. She's not a mid-season winner pick or anything, but I like her to go farther than last time, at least.

2. Troyzan Robertson - I mean, he has the f***ing idol. Of course he has the f***ing idol. And he KNOWS the other players are coming for him! If he goes to tribal, there's a 100% chance he plays the idol on himself. Come on. It's a gimme!

3. Sarah Lacina - Physically, she's not the weakest woman, and I get the feeling this season is going to be dominated by them. She's going to get to the merge at this rate, and I don't see why anyone would want to take her out, now that she's got no ties to prior seasons.

4. Sierra Dawn Thomas - She has the Legacy Advantage, she's going to be as under the radar as possible, so she doesn't have to will it. Seems like a very easy week for her, all things told. Honestly, the top 3 players in the Mana alliance are probably safe. Hali and one of Tai/Debbie are on the outs. Not sure which one, though.

5. Ozzy Lusth - It makes zero sense to get rid of Ozzy at this stage. Zero. You need him just to get to the merge. Ride him and your entire tribe makes it with how weak each tribe is starting to get. Once you get to the merge, he's out the first time he loses a challenge. It's very f***ing simple, so don't mess it up, Ozzy.

6. Andrea Boehlke - You are probably starting to notice a pattern here, I'm calling the players who are safe very meh. Michaela and Ozzy are awesome, but they are also the backbone of Nuku and Tavua respectively. You need to keep those two to keep your edge over Mana. Andrea will stick with Ozzy, and enjoy his fish catching skills.

7. Aubry Bracco - She's still a threat, don't get me wrong, but the focus is off her. On Nuku, you have JT, Malcolm, Michaela, AND Sandra. The tribe is absolutely stacked. This tribe probably isn't losing many challenges, if any, and on top of that, if they do lose, you have two winners, Malcolm, and the unknown in Michaela to contend with. JT is also from a minority, so he's more likely to be a target than Aubry. And JT is probably angling to take out more a Sandra or Malcolm than an Aubry.

8. Brad Culpepper - I'm liking him less than I did last week, as I think he's less safe now that his tribe has lost a challenge, but he's doing the right things. He let Tai call the shots, and got out the player he wanted to take out anyways. That's winning, and deserving of being in the top half to be perfectly honest. He's one of the bigger challenge threats left, already, so I think his tribe will want to preserve strength, now that Caleb is gone.

9. Hali Ford - Here's where things get interesting. Hali has been playing an incredibly smart game, and I see it as fairly likely she continues to do this. With this in mind, I'm not concerned that she's on the bottom, because she was able to convince a tribe she JUST SWITCHED ON TO, to get rid of the BIGGEST CHALLENGE COMPETITOR they had. Losing Caleb means they probably lose again. But I think she can finnagle it into being about Debbie, rather than about her.

10. Zeke Smith - We haven't seen a whole lot from Zeke, but he's probably going to be fine, based on who he's in a tribe with. Troyzan could idol him out, which is why he's not high up, I don't trust Troyzan to make a good decision, since he's Troyzan, but Zeke shouldn't be the target here. For all the talk of his strategic acumen, he's not even the most strategic player on his tribe. Take out Cirie. Take out Ozzy (physical threat). Hell, take out Andrea (very sneaky). Zeke is an unknown and this hurts his stock, but Troyzan and Zeke should get along fine, and I see no reason for Troyzan to take him out.

11. Tai Trang - I think he's still a goat. But he's also more likely to go home than he was a week ago, thanks to the vote out of what could have been his closest ally. What he does next week is crucial to his game.

12. Jeff Varner - I deserve to lose points if Varner goes home. He makes a lot of sense to take out, but that's the thing. He makes too much sense right now. Thus, he'll be carried to the merge and kept as a potential goat option. We'll see how he changes up his game, he's not winning like this.

13. Malcolm Freberg - I don't feel comfortable with saying he's safe. JT is on a tribe with him, and Sandra is just too easy of a target. You can always get her out. But Malcolm could coast to the end of the game if you let him. If JT is smart, JT will take out Malcolm instead. Michaela, Sandra, and Aubry are a group he could work with. Let's see what happens, but I'm not calling Malcolm safe anymore, now that we've seen even the best challenge competitors can go home.

14. Cirie Fields - If two people go home, there's a good chance Cirie is one of them, but not a 100% chance. She's in the majority on her tribe, but she's been screwed in this type of situation in the past. And Ozzy is one of the people who could screw her. She got stuck with many players who are wary of her, and Cirie has every reason to be nervous next week.

15. Debbie Wanner - She's from KR, like Tai, and one KR player just went for having connections. There are still three KR's left in this game, and she is not good at challenges. She's on the chopping block, even if she doesn't realize it.

16. Sandra Diaz Twine - JT is after her, according to the preview. She's a two time winner. You do the math.

17. JT Thomas - We've seen this rodeo before. Sandra took down Tony, and she has JT in the minority. Would take a miracle for him to not get voted out. Here's me praying.

RANKINGS
Team Leggy - 55 (Caleb 18th)
Team Nick - 13 (Caleb 7th)
Team Furret - 48 (Caleb 14th)
Team Gordon - 53 (Caleb 16th)
Team Adam - 56 (Caleb 18th)
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03-23-17 01:06 AM
legacyme3 is Offline
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legacyme3
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Furret : Woops you didn't participate. I put your last week rankings in its place, so you got some points.

This season has been a rollercoaster.

EPISODE 4 POWER RANKINGS
1. Troyzan Robertson - He's got an idol, and he's about the only player in the game that I know is likely safe next week, since all we know next week is that Debbie freaks out and JT is on the hot-seat. Troyzan is going to use an idol on himself if he goes to tribal, so he's not going anywhere, unless there's a new twist where idols can't be used. So it could happen.

2. Michaela Bradshaw - I'm going to say her, because she's a physical threat, and also because she's not coming up at all in discussions at Nuku. It's all JT and Sandra. Varner is the only other person from that tribe I think has a real shot of going home. I think she's sitting pretty and going to make the merge without a doubt at this point.

3. Brad Culpepper - He had himself a savage night. First he was the hero at reward. Then he was a hero again at tribal council, when he called an audible on JT, and won over Hali a bit more. By f***ing over JT, he's telling Hali, "there's a place for you here. It's on the bottom, but there's a place. There is no place for JT." If JT can reconnect with the old Nuku, it will make for an interesting dynamic, but for now, he's pushing all the right buttons, and ensuring that his tribe is loyal to him. If he was able to convince Hali to vote with them, then he has all the tools needed to make a legitimate run.

4. Sierra Dawn Thomas - She got Culpepper to use the idol on her (he had information, but it had to be tempting to take the idol for himself), and got Tai to play his idol in the first place (an idol Tai could have kept for himself). That's phenomenal social play, and keeps her on the radar for someone you can consider a threat to win. She's also seen as an under the radar player by Sandra, however, and that can be scary if both end up in a post-merge situation. For now, her place on Mana is secure, and she has nothing to worry about, in all likelihood.

5. Aubry Bracco - Might be risky to put her this high, but I legitimately believe her story has yet to begin. She's been "there", but hasn't had an impact this season, which tells me she's either not important to the season, or that she's intentionally playing low-key to save her best for the merge, when it might matter most. Aubry hasn't burned any bridges. She can work with anybody. And she's proven in the past, she's not averse to making a move to better her position, something she'll need to do if she wants to get out of the minority and into a good position in a post-merge world.

6. Ozzy Lusth - Ozzy is the hero of the hour, like he is every season. He realizes what his value is, but isn't forcing things. He realized how good it was that Troyzan f***ed up, and made Ozzy look more valuable, and then, to emphasize this, he caught a motherf***ing sting ray. Ozzy's still got flaws in his social game, which could f*** him, but he's got an incredible chance to get deeper if he can keep proving his value every week.

7. Zeke Smith - Honestly forgot he was on this season. He's yet to make any waves, so I'm going to say it's likely he's biding his time.

8. Andrea Boehlke - She was the hero for Tavua at the immunity challenge, so probably bought herself some good will. She has also yet to really do much in this game, and that's for the best, the less time she spends strategizing early, the less people will view her as a threat. Kick back, relax, and let the power players kill each other.

9. Sarah Lacina - She had another quiet week, beginning to wonder when she's going to start playing again. Moving her lower in the rankings until she can show me why she's on the season again. Strong first episode, but pretty weak after.

10. Jeff Varner - He's weak as s*** in challenges (he's the reason Nuku didn't win the challenge, and thus, the reason Malcolm went home), and with challenge strength severely diminished, he might be a casualty, simply because Sandra/Varner/Michaela isn't going to win many challenges on their own. Need to cut Varner, but you'd probably prefer to get rid of a player Sandra anyway.

11. Cirie Fields - I went back and forth between the last 6 names I could choose from (her, JT, Sandra, Debbie, Hali, and Tai), but I'm putting her highest, simply because that's the way this season is going. If I have to lose Malcolm, that means there's zero chance someone I want to go home next week goes home, right? Would just be too nice. We can't have nice things, so the useless in challenges, overrated, boring Cirie will somehow find a way to convince Troyzan not to play an idol on himself and vote her out or just win the challenge by default.

12. Hali Ford - Call me crazy, but I think she's safer than either Debbie OR Tai next week. The previews allude to a Debbie blow-up. This would have been a perfect time to get rid of Hali, but the fact they didn't shows to me that they'd rather work with her than JT. This is bad for JT, and great for Hali, who suddenly goes from being on the sinking Mana ship to being a bottom peg member of Nuku. Time will tell if she can climb, but she's in a better position than we believe.

13. Tai Trang - It was great of him to play his idol on Sierra, but he could have kept the idol for himself, and guaranteed himself next week. He didn't. Now, he's an idol short, in an alliance that probably considers him a disposable tool. Making matters worse, he probably burned all of his bridges to anyone on Mana, so at best, he's a FTC goat. At worst, he's a threat, due to there still being three KR members on the island (including one on his tribe in Debbie).

14. Sandra Diaz-Twine - As much as I'd like, she's probably safe. She called the shots, and given a PERFECT OPPORTUNITY TO GET RID OF HER, not one person, including JT, voted for her. JT did try to convince Mana to vote for her, but in the end, he took his fate out of his hands, and put it into Brad's. Sandra and Brad are running the show, and JT doesn't have a spot at either table. Sandra could still go home, but I don't think it's at all likely.

15. Debbie Wanner - She blows up in the preview, and that makes things scary for her, especially considering the KR background, which makes her an instant target. Add that she's not good at challenges, and they don't really have incentive to keep her.

16. JT Thomas - He got Swapf***ed last week, twistf***ed this week, and then got Bradf***ed at Tribal. That's three strikes, which means JT is out. It's a shame, because given a more level playing field, he probably could have made a deep run, but with all these different things going against him, I don't think he's even going to hit the merge anymore. And it's a shame, because he's easily my favorite player left, especially with Malcolm, his closest ally, biting the bullet. Sorry JT.

RANKINGS
Team Leggy - 68 (Malcolm 13th)
Team Nick - 19 (Malcolm 6th)
Team Furret - 59 (Malcolm 11th) - He didn't do a power ranking this week, so I just used last week's, so he got some points)
Team Gordon - 57 (Malcolm 4th)
Team Adam - 61 (Malcolm 5th)

I was the only player in the top 3 to put Malcolm below the top 6 spots, (only one other power ranker did so), and as a result, I gain a big advantage in avenging the previous season's results. I'm now in a good enough position, that if I can hold the lead into the merge, everything should fall into place. Just a quick aside - If not for the idol play, and thus, Sierra goes home instead - the scores would be very different (I put Sierra 4th, Nick put her 1st, Adam put her 2nd, and Gordon put her 15th (Furret had her 1st last week)).

Next week looks to be relatively normal. No twists. Hopefully?

Sometimes, Survivor really hurts.
Furret : Woops you didn't participate. I put your last week rankings in its place, so you got some points.

This season has been a rollercoaster.

EPISODE 4 POWER RANKINGS
1. Troyzan Robertson - He's got an idol, and he's about the only player in the game that I know is likely safe next week, since all we know next week is that Debbie freaks out and JT is on the hot-seat. Troyzan is going to use an idol on himself if he goes to tribal, so he's not going anywhere, unless there's a new twist where idols can't be used. So it could happen.

2. Michaela Bradshaw - I'm going to say her, because she's a physical threat, and also because she's not coming up at all in discussions at Nuku. It's all JT and Sandra. Varner is the only other person from that tribe I think has a real shot of going home. I think she's sitting pretty and going to make the merge without a doubt at this point.

3. Brad Culpepper - He had himself a savage night. First he was the hero at reward. Then he was a hero again at tribal council, when he called an audible on JT, and won over Hali a bit more. By f***ing over JT, he's telling Hali, "there's a place for you here. It's on the bottom, but there's a place. There is no place for JT." If JT can reconnect with the old Nuku, it will make for an interesting dynamic, but for now, he's pushing all the right buttons, and ensuring that his tribe is loyal to him. If he was able to convince Hali to vote with them, then he has all the tools needed to make a legitimate run.

4. Sierra Dawn Thomas - She got Culpepper to use the idol on her (he had information, but it had to be tempting to take the idol for himself), and got Tai to play his idol in the first place (an idol Tai could have kept for himself). That's phenomenal social play, and keeps her on the radar for someone you can consider a threat to win. She's also seen as an under the radar player by Sandra, however, and that can be scary if both end up in a post-merge situation. For now, her place on Mana is secure, and she has nothing to worry about, in all likelihood.

5. Aubry Bracco - Might be risky to put her this high, but I legitimately believe her story has yet to begin. She's been "there", but hasn't had an impact this season, which tells me she's either not important to the season, or that she's intentionally playing low-key to save her best for the merge, when it might matter most. Aubry hasn't burned any bridges. She can work with anybody. And she's proven in the past, she's not averse to making a move to better her position, something she'll need to do if she wants to get out of the minority and into a good position in a post-merge world.

6. Ozzy Lusth - Ozzy is the hero of the hour, like he is every season. He realizes what his value is, but isn't forcing things. He realized how good it was that Troyzan f***ed up, and made Ozzy look more valuable, and then, to emphasize this, he caught a motherf***ing sting ray. Ozzy's still got flaws in his social game, which could f*** him, but he's got an incredible chance to get deeper if he can keep proving his value every week.

7. Zeke Smith - Honestly forgot he was on this season. He's yet to make any waves, so I'm going to say it's likely he's biding his time.

8. Andrea Boehlke - She was the hero for Tavua at the immunity challenge, so probably bought herself some good will. She has also yet to really do much in this game, and that's for the best, the less time she spends strategizing early, the less people will view her as a threat. Kick back, relax, and let the power players kill each other.

9. Sarah Lacina - She had another quiet week, beginning to wonder when she's going to start playing again. Moving her lower in the rankings until she can show me why she's on the season again. Strong first episode, but pretty weak after.

10. Jeff Varner - He's weak as s*** in challenges (he's the reason Nuku didn't win the challenge, and thus, the reason Malcolm went home), and with challenge strength severely diminished, he might be a casualty, simply because Sandra/Varner/Michaela isn't going to win many challenges on their own. Need to cut Varner, but you'd probably prefer to get rid of a player Sandra anyway.

11. Cirie Fields - I went back and forth between the last 6 names I could choose from (her, JT, Sandra, Debbie, Hali, and Tai), but I'm putting her highest, simply because that's the way this season is going. If I have to lose Malcolm, that means there's zero chance someone I want to go home next week goes home, right? Would just be too nice. We can't have nice things, so the useless in challenges, overrated, boring Cirie will somehow find a way to convince Troyzan not to play an idol on himself and vote her out or just win the challenge by default.

12. Hali Ford - Call me crazy, but I think she's safer than either Debbie OR Tai next week. The previews allude to a Debbie blow-up. This would have been a perfect time to get rid of Hali, but the fact they didn't shows to me that they'd rather work with her than JT. This is bad for JT, and great for Hali, who suddenly goes from being on the sinking Mana ship to being a bottom peg member of Nuku. Time will tell if she can climb, but she's in a better position than we believe.

13. Tai Trang - It was great of him to play his idol on Sierra, but he could have kept the idol for himself, and guaranteed himself next week. He didn't. Now, he's an idol short, in an alliance that probably considers him a disposable tool. Making matters worse, he probably burned all of his bridges to anyone on Mana, so at best, he's a FTC goat. At worst, he's a threat, due to there still being three KR members on the island (including one on his tribe in Debbie).

14. Sandra Diaz-Twine - As much as I'd like, she's probably safe. She called the shots, and given a PERFECT OPPORTUNITY TO GET RID OF HER, not one person, including JT, voted for her. JT did try to convince Mana to vote for her, but in the end, he took his fate out of his hands, and put it into Brad's. Sandra and Brad are running the show, and JT doesn't have a spot at either table. Sandra could still go home, but I don't think it's at all likely.

15. Debbie Wanner - She blows up in the preview, and that makes things scary for her, especially considering the KR background, which makes her an instant target. Add that she's not good at challenges, and they don't really have incentive to keep her.

16. JT Thomas - He got Swapf***ed last week, twistf***ed this week, and then got Bradf***ed at Tribal. That's three strikes, which means JT is out. It's a shame, because given a more level playing field, he probably could have made a deep run, but with all these different things going against him, I don't think he's even going to hit the merge anymore. And it's a shame, because he's easily my favorite player left, especially with Malcolm, his closest ally, biting the bullet. Sorry JT.

RANKINGS
Team Leggy - 68 (Malcolm 13th)
Team Nick - 19 (Malcolm 6th)
Team Furret - 59 (Malcolm 11th) - He didn't do a power ranking this week, so I just used last week's, so he got some points)
Team Gordon - 57 (Malcolm 4th)
Team Adam - 61 (Malcolm 5th)

I was the only player in the top 3 to put Malcolm below the top 6 spots, (only one other power ranker did so), and as a result, I gain a big advantage in avenging the previous season's results. I'm now in a good enough position, that if I can hold the lead into the merge, everything should fall into place. Just a quick aside - If not for the idol play, and thus, Sierra goes home instead - the scores would be very different (I put Sierra 4th, Nick put her 1st, Adam put her 2nd, and Gordon put her 15th (Furret had her 1st last week)).

Next week looks to be relatively normal. No twists. Hopefully?

Sometimes, Survivor really hurts.
Vizzed Elite
6-Time VCS Winner

One Leggy.
One Love.
One Dream.


Affected by 'Laziness Syndrome'

Registered: 09-14-10
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03-23-17 12:34 PM
Furret is Offline
| ID: 1333190 | 362 Words

Furret
Davideo69
Level: 151


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Apologies for not posting here this week, completely slipped my mind somehow >>


I am heartbroken. I am a broken man. Tai is now one of my least favorites of the season. Dump him between Debbie and Zeke. Like I don't mind J.T. because if he could have gotten Sandra out that way it would've been a great move for him.


1. Troyzan - He's loving life right now. Man's got an idol and the Nuku tribe has been severely weakened. 

2. Brad - He's also loving life. Power position and has good connections with people. He can't scream for s*** though.

3. Sierra - Girl is also loving life. Pretty lady in a pretty position.

4. Michaela - Why get rid of her when there will be a gigantic battle between other people.

5. Ozzy - Yet another guy who loves life. Made Troyzan look stupid, made himself look powerful and he caught some honestly poisonous looking stingray.

6. Sarah - She was inv this episode and I don't think there's any reason to get her out.

7. Zeke - About as inv as Sarah but Troyzan might fear his facial hair.

8. Aubry - She seems so out of it. Sandra has shown that she wouldn't mind Aubry going as an alternative but she's not the weakest player on her tribe and they need strength.

9. Tai - He's a goat but you never know. Hali wants him gone. And Hali is queen <3

10. Varner - Risky because he blew the challenge but with J.T. and Sandra (who's arguably weaker than he is) on his tribe he should be fine this episode.

11. Cirie - She's my second candidate for Troyzan's target.

12. Andrea - Gut feeling that she'll be Troyzan's target.

13. Hali - Even though I think she's in a better spot than she was in before, she's still a lone wolf.

14. Debbie - Preview made her almost as crazy as Brandon Hantz

15. Sandra - If it's not J.T. then it's Sandra.

16. J.T. - I mean he'll take the bullet for sure if Nuku goes to tribal next. His only ally there is gone.
Apologies for not posting here this week, completely slipped my mind somehow >>


I am heartbroken. I am a broken man. Tai is now one of my least favorites of the season. Dump him between Debbie and Zeke. Like I don't mind J.T. because if he could have gotten Sandra out that way it would've been a great move for him.


1. Troyzan - He's loving life right now. Man's got an idol and the Nuku tribe has been severely weakened. 

2. Brad - He's also loving life. Power position and has good connections with people. He can't scream for s*** though.

3. Sierra - Girl is also loving life. Pretty lady in a pretty position.

4. Michaela - Why get rid of her when there will be a gigantic battle between other people.

5. Ozzy - Yet another guy who loves life. Made Troyzan look stupid, made himself look powerful and he caught some honestly poisonous looking stingray.

6. Sarah - She was inv this episode and I don't think there's any reason to get her out.

7. Zeke - About as inv as Sarah but Troyzan might fear his facial hair.

8. Aubry - She seems so out of it. Sandra has shown that she wouldn't mind Aubry going as an alternative but she's not the weakest player on her tribe and they need strength.

9. Tai - He's a goat but you never know. Hali wants him gone. And Hali is queen <3

10. Varner - Risky because he blew the challenge but with J.T. and Sandra (who's arguably weaker than he is) on his tribe he should be fine this episode.

11. Cirie - She's my second candidate for Troyzan's target.

12. Andrea - Gut feeling that she'll be Troyzan's target.

13. Hali - Even though I think she's in a better spot than she was in before, she's still a lone wolf.

14. Debbie - Preview made her almost as crazy as Brandon Hantz

15. Sandra - If it's not J.T. then it's Sandra.

16. J.T. - I mean he'll take the bullet for sure if Nuku goes to tribal next. His only ally there is gone.
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Furret :

We knew it was coming, but still...

That entire tribal hurt my soul. He should have brought the idol, and used it, regardless. He HAD to know Sandra and Varner weren't 100% on his side, and that should have set a red flag.

Keeps looking more and more like Fishbach really "was" the good player in Tocantins.

1. Troyzan Robertson - Even though he's dumber than a pile of bricks (seriously, what does he think he was doing with Sarah at the water well?), he's probably as safe as they come next week, because he's an obvious target who has an idol. Troyzan is dumb, but he's not JT dumb, and if he goes to a Tribal, he'll use it to save his ass. Still can't get over that stupidity by JT, so the rest of this Troyzan blurb is about how stupid JT was. When you go to Tribal in a minority, no MATTER WHAT, you bring the idol, and you use it. If you blow the idol, it sucks, but guess what, you bought yourself three more days in the game, and get rid of the player of your choosing anyways.

2. Brad Culpepper - Going into a post-swap world (man this season is weird), Nuku has a 9-6 advantage on Mana. If you keep it at three tribes, there's such a high chance of being in a Nuku plurality, that anyone on OG Nuku is probably safe. I think with the introduction of exile, what's going to happen is either a tribal pick'em with two captains decided by random luck or a traditional swap into two, with one person drawing a black, purple, or white (whatever color means Exile this season) rock, with the condition they are safe at tribal, but join the losing tribe. Culpepper is a solid bet to be safe, given his tribal strength, and his strong social game.

3. Michaela Bradshaw - Literally the only member of Mana I'm going to pick to be in the top 8 or so this week, besides Troyzan. She escaped tonight with two votes against her, but one of those voters are now out of the game. She still has a temper problem, but with challenge strength being so important, I think whatever tribe she lands on is going to choose to keep her over voting her out.

4. Ozzy Lusth - This has to be a gimme right? He would be in trouble if they kept Tavua as it is, eventually, but he's too strong to take out right now, and I think everyone realizes there is a better time to take him out. Ozzy is my favorite player left by a country mile, so I'm keeping him this high in the hopes I can will him to further in the game.

5. Tai Trang - One thing stood out to me this week, and that's that Tai managed to be in the perfect position. He attempted to get Debbie to calm down, which shows he cares, but he also admitted that he'd prefer to work with Hali for multiple reasons, which shows he's using his head. The tribe swap could be a huge chance for him to get out from under Brad's wing, and become his own player. He's unlikely to be taken out next, simply because there are bigger and smaller fish to fry.

6. Sarah Lacina - She did the right thing, not committing to working with Troyzan. She is keeping her options open, but didn't make the mistake she made in Cagayan, blindly trusting Tony. She's more wary of Troyzan, who she doesn't know has an idol. Her game will be decided in this post-swap environment, I feel. Until now, we haven't had much insight into her game, simply because her tribe has kept winning. She seems to have good ties on Nuku, and has built other decent ties on Tavua. She emerges with a good chance to do some real damage.

7. Sierra Dawn Thomas - I didn't really remember if she was in the episode or not. In either case, she still has that Legacy Advantage, and is a strong female competitor, so it makes little sense to take her out in favor of someone else. She's not objectionable, so I think she'll be safe at least 2 more weeks. Then it's straight into danger territory for her, I believe.

8. Andrea Boehlke - Similarly to Sierra, I'm not really prepared to say she was definitely in the episode. And just like Sierra, she's a strong female competitor who isn't objectionable. I don't like her chances to win, but I think she's got a better chance than say Sandra does right now. Needs to lay low, but she also needs to make a move eventually. Just don't think next week is the week.

9. Hali Ford - She's good with OG Mana presumably. And she's gotten lots of time with the new Mana tribe that consisted of Brad, Tai, Debbie, and Sierra. She has allies in more places than anyone else, it would appear. The big knock against her is she keeps going to Tribal in danger territory, but she's emerging from these votes without being taken out, so she's probably going to continue to work her magic.

10. Zeke Smith - He should probably be higher, but this swap scares me a lot for him, actually. Especially if he manages to get swapped onto a tribe with Michaela. It's bad enough dealing with one unknown, but here you have a second one, and a less athletic one at that. He's in danger territory until further notice.

11. Aubry Bracco - I could see the vote going one of 5 different ways next week. Either Aubry, Sandra, Debbie, Varner, or Cirie gets voted out. Are you noticing a pattern here? With the exception of Aubry, these are all poor challenge performers, and I expect challenge strength will suddenly become important. So why is Aubry down here? She got out-voted by Varner/Sandra/Michaela, and has already burned the Michaela bridge it seems. With her seemingly also being set against Sandra, and likely Jeff Varner, she has only two other former Mana players she can turn to, Troyzan and Hali. Troyzan is seemingly in Sandra's corner, and Hali is a known flipper. Aubry has no one to play with. While this is a weakness, this is also a strength, since it gives her more reason to work with Nuku to take out someone else. If she decides to take action next week, we could see more fireworks.

12. Cirie Fields - If what I think is going to happen, happens, and one castaway is either chosen for Exile, or randomly selected, I think it's going to be Cirie. If chosen, it's obvious, because she's the weakest person out there. If it's randomly selected, it will be more s*** luck, since it means she's immune from the vote. If she is on a tribe and they go to Tribal, she's a high threat to go home, even with a majority, given the Ozzy beef, and her weakness in challenges.

13. Jeff Varner - Similarly to his Mana compatriots, he's probably screwed. They are at a massive disadvantage heading into the swap, and he is weak in challenges, just like the two below him. The one thing on his side is he can sweet talk his way into safety, because he's Jeff Varner. I think he's going to survive next week, but I need him this low for safety.

14. Debbie Wanner - The only thing funnier than Debbie's blowup this week, and her unresolved mental issues, is her chances of winning this game. Not a single person is going to consider voting for her after that stunt. Her victim complex is annoying, and I think her tribe agrees.

15. Sandra Diaz-Twine - The queen does NOT stay queen, adios, good-bye. I f***ing hate her this season. The good news is, post-swap, there's even less reason to keep her around. She's in a minority, crap at challenges, and a threat to win at the end if you let her slip by. Zero reason to not get rid of her while you can.

RANKINGS
Team Leggy - 84 (JT 16th)
Team Nick - 24 (JT 5th)
Team Furret - 75 (JT 16th)
Team Gordon - 73 (JT 16th)
Team Adam - 76 (JT 15th)

And just like that, every top contender had JT in their bottom two spots. Not really hard to see why, but it's still disappointing
Furret :

We knew it was coming, but still...

That entire tribal hurt my soul. He should have brought the idol, and used it, regardless. He HAD to know Sandra and Varner weren't 100% on his side, and that should have set a red flag.

Keeps looking more and more like Fishbach really "was" the good player in Tocantins.

1. Troyzan Robertson - Even though he's dumber than a pile of bricks (seriously, what does he think he was doing with Sarah at the water well?), he's probably as safe as they come next week, because he's an obvious target who has an idol. Troyzan is dumb, but he's not JT dumb, and if he goes to a Tribal, he'll use it to save his ass. Still can't get over that stupidity by JT, so the rest of this Troyzan blurb is about how stupid JT was. When you go to Tribal in a minority, no MATTER WHAT, you bring the idol, and you use it. If you blow the idol, it sucks, but guess what, you bought yourself three more days in the game, and get rid of the player of your choosing anyways.

2. Brad Culpepper - Going into a post-swap world (man this season is weird), Nuku has a 9-6 advantage on Mana. If you keep it at three tribes, there's such a high chance of being in a Nuku plurality, that anyone on OG Nuku is probably safe. I think with the introduction of exile, what's going to happen is either a tribal pick'em with two captains decided by random luck or a traditional swap into two, with one person drawing a black, purple, or white (whatever color means Exile this season) rock, with the condition they are safe at tribal, but join the losing tribe. Culpepper is a solid bet to be safe, given his tribal strength, and his strong social game.

3. Michaela Bradshaw - Literally the only member of Mana I'm going to pick to be in the top 8 or so this week, besides Troyzan. She escaped tonight with two votes against her, but one of those voters are now out of the game. She still has a temper problem, but with challenge strength being so important, I think whatever tribe she lands on is going to choose to keep her over voting her out.

4. Ozzy Lusth - This has to be a gimme right? He would be in trouble if they kept Tavua as it is, eventually, but he's too strong to take out right now, and I think everyone realizes there is a better time to take him out. Ozzy is my favorite player left by a country mile, so I'm keeping him this high in the hopes I can will him to further in the game.

5. Tai Trang - One thing stood out to me this week, and that's that Tai managed to be in the perfect position. He attempted to get Debbie to calm down, which shows he cares, but he also admitted that he'd prefer to work with Hali for multiple reasons, which shows he's using his head. The tribe swap could be a huge chance for him to get out from under Brad's wing, and become his own player. He's unlikely to be taken out next, simply because there are bigger and smaller fish to fry.

6. Sarah Lacina - She did the right thing, not committing to working with Troyzan. She is keeping her options open, but didn't make the mistake she made in Cagayan, blindly trusting Tony. She's more wary of Troyzan, who she doesn't know has an idol. Her game will be decided in this post-swap environment, I feel. Until now, we haven't had much insight into her game, simply because her tribe has kept winning. She seems to have good ties on Nuku, and has built other decent ties on Tavua. She emerges with a good chance to do some real damage.

7. Sierra Dawn Thomas - I didn't really remember if she was in the episode or not. In either case, she still has that Legacy Advantage, and is a strong female competitor, so it makes little sense to take her out in favor of someone else. She's not objectionable, so I think she'll be safe at least 2 more weeks. Then it's straight into danger territory for her, I believe.

8. Andrea Boehlke - Similarly to Sierra, I'm not really prepared to say she was definitely in the episode. And just like Sierra, she's a strong female competitor who isn't objectionable. I don't like her chances to win, but I think she's got a better chance than say Sandra does right now. Needs to lay low, but she also needs to make a move eventually. Just don't think next week is the week.

9. Hali Ford - She's good with OG Mana presumably. And she's gotten lots of time with the new Mana tribe that consisted of Brad, Tai, Debbie, and Sierra. She has allies in more places than anyone else, it would appear. The big knock against her is she keeps going to Tribal in danger territory, but she's emerging from these votes without being taken out, so she's probably going to continue to work her magic.

10. Zeke Smith - He should probably be higher, but this swap scares me a lot for him, actually. Especially if he manages to get swapped onto a tribe with Michaela. It's bad enough dealing with one unknown, but here you have a second one, and a less athletic one at that. He's in danger territory until further notice.

11. Aubry Bracco - I could see the vote going one of 5 different ways next week. Either Aubry, Sandra, Debbie, Varner, or Cirie gets voted out. Are you noticing a pattern here? With the exception of Aubry, these are all poor challenge performers, and I expect challenge strength will suddenly become important. So why is Aubry down here? She got out-voted by Varner/Sandra/Michaela, and has already burned the Michaela bridge it seems. With her seemingly also being set against Sandra, and likely Jeff Varner, she has only two other former Mana players she can turn to, Troyzan and Hali. Troyzan is seemingly in Sandra's corner, and Hali is a known flipper. Aubry has no one to play with. While this is a weakness, this is also a strength, since it gives her more reason to work with Nuku to take out someone else. If she decides to take action next week, we could see more fireworks.

12. Cirie Fields - If what I think is going to happen, happens, and one castaway is either chosen for Exile, or randomly selected, I think it's going to be Cirie. If chosen, it's obvious, because she's the weakest person out there. If it's randomly selected, it will be more s*** luck, since it means she's immune from the vote. If she is on a tribe and they go to Tribal, she's a high threat to go home, even with a majority, given the Ozzy beef, and her weakness in challenges.

13. Jeff Varner - Similarly to his Mana compatriots, he's probably screwed. They are at a massive disadvantage heading into the swap, and he is weak in challenges, just like the two below him. The one thing on his side is he can sweet talk his way into safety, because he's Jeff Varner. I think he's going to survive next week, but I need him this low for safety.

14. Debbie Wanner - The only thing funnier than Debbie's blowup this week, and her unresolved mental issues, is her chances of winning this game. Not a single person is going to consider voting for her after that stunt. Her victim complex is annoying, and I think her tribe agrees.

15. Sandra Diaz-Twine - The queen does NOT stay queen, adios, good-bye. I f***ing hate her this season. The good news is, post-swap, there's even less reason to keep her around. She's in a minority, crap at challenges, and a threat to win at the end if you let her slip by. Zero reason to not get rid of her while you can.

RANKINGS
Team Leggy - 84 (JT 16th)
Team Nick - 24 (JT 5th)
Team Furret - 75 (JT 16th)
Team Gordon - 73 (JT 16th)
Team Adam - 76 (JT 15th)

And just like that, every top contender had JT in their bottom two spots. Not really hard to see why, but it's still disappointing
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Tony, Malcolm and now JT. I'm loving the season but all of my favorites are leaving.

1. Brad - Despite the seemingly one sided argument between him and Debbie he still came out very positive last episode. With the way Malcolm described Troyzan I don't feel like putting him on top anymore so I'll put Brad here. JT's blunder made me remember that idol =/= guaranteed safe if you're a dumbass.

2. Ozzy - Guy is a challenge monster, don't get rid of him now. It would both increase your chance of going to the next tribal and bring the original numbers down to 8 - 6.

3. Troyzan - BigD***Troyzan can chill here. He's got an idol so he
should be safe. Keyword 'should'. I don't think he'll be as dumb as J.T. even though his intro shot makes him look very stupid. 

4. Sierra - Why get rid of her? I mean she aced that slingshot and she's in a great position on Mana v2.

5. Tai - He's doing not s*** surprisingly and found an idol clue. I mean I like idols but that's like the 5th idol/clue found including the legacy advantage. And we haven't even hit the merge. Crazy stuff I'm telling you.

6. Sarah - I hope she wasn't serious about wanting to work with the person who's down 1-5 without even knowing about the idol.

7. Andrea - She's irrelevant

8. Michaela - Not a great episode for Michaela but she came out okay. Her temper might get the best of her. Love the fact that she was drinking while the votes were being read. Hate the fact that J.T. went instead of her.

9. Cirie - Just not great in challenges and I honestly have no idea where she stands in the Tavua tribe.

10. Hali - Despite being down 1-4 she still came out of Mana v2 in a better spot than before because she has connections on the original Nuku tribe and is still tight with original Mana.

11. Zeke - IDK but we haven't seen a lot of Zeke. Also during the episode I had a nagging feeling that him saying he'll ace the puzzle was a bad omen. Like I get why they showed Mana discussing (which was really fun to see actually, can't remember any other times they've ever shown that) but why did they show Tavua discussing, and only showing what Zeke said. Still doubt he goes this episode but I'm keeping him somewhat low because I want to see what tribe and position he ends up in.

12. Debbie - BECAUSE SHE'S PISSED. Nah but Debbie just nuked her position in Mana v2 and Brad/Sierra might not trust her going into the merge which is rapidly approaching. 

13. Aubry - Because she's clearly at the bottom of Nuku v2 and someone like Sandra or Hali might say 'get her out instead of me'.

14. Sandra - I'm actually loving her this season because she's not paying her typical game. Also mad respect for the sugar thing, that took JT's target away from her and onto Michaela. And if JT were to have used his idol it might have saved her. But she's still the two time winner who happens to be weak in challenges. 

15. Varner - Feel like the original Nuku's will want to get rid of an original Mana and he's one of the weakest among them. IDK feel like he'll be less likely to get himself out of a minority position than Sandra.
Tony, Malcolm and now JT. I'm loving the season but all of my favorites are leaving.

1. Brad - Despite the seemingly one sided argument between him and Debbie he still came out very positive last episode. With the way Malcolm described Troyzan I don't feel like putting him on top anymore so I'll put Brad here. JT's blunder made me remember that idol =/= guaranteed safe if you're a dumbass.

2. Ozzy - Guy is a challenge monster, don't get rid of him now. It would both increase your chance of going to the next tribal and bring the original numbers down to 8 - 6.

3. Troyzan - BigD***Troyzan can chill here. He's got an idol so he
should be safe. Keyword 'should'. I don't think he'll be as dumb as J.T. even though his intro shot makes him look very stupid. 

4. Sierra - Why get rid of her? I mean she aced that slingshot and she's in a great position on Mana v2.

5. Tai - He's doing not s*** surprisingly and found an idol clue. I mean I like idols but that's like the 5th idol/clue found including the legacy advantage. And we haven't even hit the merge. Crazy stuff I'm telling you.

6. Sarah - I hope she wasn't serious about wanting to work with the person who's down 1-5 without even knowing about the idol.

7. Andrea - She's irrelevant

8. Michaela - Not a great episode for Michaela but she came out okay. Her temper might get the best of her. Love the fact that she was drinking while the votes were being read. Hate the fact that J.T. went instead of her.

9. Cirie - Just not great in challenges and I honestly have no idea where she stands in the Tavua tribe.

10. Hali - Despite being down 1-4 she still came out of Mana v2 in a better spot than before because she has connections on the original Nuku tribe and is still tight with original Mana.

11. Zeke - IDK but we haven't seen a lot of Zeke. Also during the episode I had a nagging feeling that him saying he'll ace the puzzle was a bad omen. Like I get why they showed Mana discussing (which was really fun to see actually, can't remember any other times they've ever shown that) but why did they show Tavua discussing, and only showing what Zeke said. Still doubt he goes this episode but I'm keeping him somewhat low because I want to see what tribe and position he ends up in.

12. Debbie - BECAUSE SHE'S PISSED. Nah but Debbie just nuked her position in Mana v2 and Brad/Sierra might not trust her going into the merge which is rapidly approaching. 

13. Aubry - Because she's clearly at the bottom of Nuku v2 and someone like Sandra or Hali might say 'get her out instead of me'.

14. Sandra - I'm actually loving her this season because she's not paying her typical game. Also mad respect for the sugar thing, that took JT's target away from her and onto Michaela. And if JT were to have used his idol it might have saved her. But she's still the two time winner who happens to be weak in challenges. 

15. Varner - Feel like the original Nuku's will want to get rid of an original Mana and he's one of the weakest among them. IDK feel like he'll be less likely to get himself out of a minority position than Sandra.
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Furret :

GUESS WHAT TIME IT IS.

That send off, just wow.

And Cochran lol.

EPISODE 6 POWER RANKINGS
1. Brad Culpepper - Everyone is a potential target next week. Not one person is safe. Not even the person with two idols (and will likely find three more next episode). Brad is in a good position, because even though he's seemingly dismissive of women, and on a tribe full of them, he's not the bottom man on the pecking order. Troyzan is. Mind, Troyzan has an idol, and might be willing to use it on Brad if they need to. Brad has proven his value to his tribes, so I have no reason to believe they'd want to get him out. He's a threat, but he's not as big of a threat as Ozzy, so he's more likely to slide under the radar.

2. Troyzan Robertson - There's just no way two guys go home, in Game Changers, with idols in their pockets, right? He has to be safe. Right? I think even if Mana loses a challenge, the guys will probably be safe. He has connections to Aubry, Hali, and Michaela, all three of which of whom are without real allies, and are more likely to be used as players in Nuku's internal game. He also has a connection to Cirie, and the obvious alliance with Brad. The only person here he hasn't played with (besides Brad) is Sierra, and that makes her a threat to go home next week if he chooses to play his idol to take out an unknown.

3. Andrea Boehlke - I just can't see her going. She's a strong challenge competitor, but not even close to being the biggest threat in the game. She's probably going to slip by to the merge at this point, thanks to her connections (she's currently on a tribe with three other Tavuas, and two additional players she started the game with, in Debbie, and Tai. It's hard to tell where she's going to want to go, but my safe bet is she's fine going with any of the remaining players. Varner makes the most sense for a variety of reasons, but with how he's backed into a corner, I would consider keeping him around, to blindside a Tai, Debbie, or Ozzy, all of whom have a reason to go.

4. Sarah Lacina - Like Andrea, she's in a good position. I have no real reason to rank her below Andrea, it's just me ranking her here for the sake of ranking someone here. Most of what I said about Andrea applies to Sarah, as both have gone through the same path to get here. Ozzy and Zeke have too. My question is if that four can stick together.

5. Zeke Smith - I might be playing this a bit risky, but it seems Zeke's brain has turned on for the season, which means I think he's going to get a few good moves in before he departs. He's allying with the right people, and he's even willing to work with Varner, god willing, which bodes well for his adaptability. If he, Varner, and Tai can work together, they can run roughshod through this game as under the radar threats, with Tai's idols, Jeff's sweet talking voice, and Zeke's brain.

6. Michaela Bradshaw - I don't really have a reason to keep her in the top half, but I have even less reason to put her in the bottom half. She hustled at the challenge, and while her attitude has been a focus this season, I think it's worth noting that she managed to stay in longer than JT. If her tribe loses, she isn't going to be the first Mana targeted. Aubry has the KR3 hanging over her, Hali is a complete unknown for everyone but Brad and Sierra, who both seem hesitant to trust her, and Troyzan is is well... Troyzan. Michaela vs. Aubry seems to be the next big feud, but I'm hoping it isn't. Love to see two of my favorite female players work together.

7. Sierra Dawn Thomas - In the vein of players being protected by bigger threats, Sierra is playing such an under the radar game, that it really isn't surprising that she's made it to where she is. She's subtly helping out with everything, appearing not to be too threatening, but she's definitely playing the game. She also has the Legacy Advantage, which she can use soon if she chooses to. I don't think she should, or will need to, but it's worth remembering.

8. Aubry Bracco - This is going to look risky, but with how she finally started to talk about the game, I think she's begun to play it. And with Sandra out of the picture, her stock goes way up. The biggest knock against her, and why she isn't higher, is the KR3. What she has going for her, is none of these people are on her tribe, which gives her way more time to contemplate how she wants to deal with them. She's in a position where she can either flop or flourish.

9. Hali Ford - I don't really see a reason to vote her out. She's been on the same tribe all game, which seems to handicap her ability to socialize with other players, which makes her an interesting free agent. Think she's the pre-merge swing vote for the remainder of the pre-jury phase.

10. Tai Trang - This is the start of my danger zone. There are five names I've considered to be likely to go home, so let's start with the safest of the five, Tai. He's the most safe, because he keeps finding idols. As long as he isn't JT and actually plays the idols, he'll be safe another week if he so chooses. Issue is, he's not a smart player, so odds are, he's going to misplay them, in one way or another. Even with twenty idols, he wouldn't be safe.

11. Debbie Wanner - I'm just going off a hunch. I don't think she goes very far, even with Cochran's help. What I do think, is that his pep talk will help her survive one more tribal council, at the least. She will never win this game, but right now, there are bigger fish to fry.

12. Cirie Fields - As much as I would love her gone... it's Survivor.

13. Jeff Varner - He's all alone. But he has a potential opening, so he's not dead yet. I think he truly is playing for the merge, rather than the win, so it could be very easy for him to get where he wants, if he allows himself to be a pawn.

14. Ozzy Lusth - Ozzy being a target is f***ing terrifying. All Tai has to do is decide to play his idol, and bye-bye Ozzy. We've already seen tons of proof that challenge strength means zilch, and next week, if he goes to Tribal, he could be the latest casualty of a nuts game.

RANKINGS
Team Leggy - 99 (Sandra 15th)
Team Nick - 39 (Sandra 15th)
Team Furret - 89 (Sandra 14th)
Team Gordon - 88 (Sandra 15th)
Team Adam - 88 (Sandra 12th)

So, next week, I am guaranteed to become the first member of the 100 club this season. I've held a pretty commanding lead to this point (99 out of a possible 105 points, I believe, which is just unreal. The results have been predictable, but the way those results are happening is just crazy.

This is such an entertaining season, because even if you see something coming a mile away, you still aren't prepared for it.
Furret :

GUESS WHAT TIME IT IS.

That send off, just wow.

And Cochran lol.

EPISODE 6 POWER RANKINGS
1. Brad Culpepper - Everyone is a potential target next week. Not one person is safe. Not even the person with two idols (and will likely find three more next episode). Brad is in a good position, because even though he's seemingly dismissive of women, and on a tribe full of them, he's not the bottom man on the pecking order. Troyzan is. Mind, Troyzan has an idol, and might be willing to use it on Brad if they need to. Brad has proven his value to his tribes, so I have no reason to believe they'd want to get him out. He's a threat, but he's not as big of a threat as Ozzy, so he's more likely to slide under the radar.

2. Troyzan Robertson - There's just no way two guys go home, in Game Changers, with idols in their pockets, right? He has to be safe. Right? I think even if Mana loses a challenge, the guys will probably be safe. He has connections to Aubry, Hali, and Michaela, all three of which of whom are without real allies, and are more likely to be used as players in Nuku's internal game. He also has a connection to Cirie, and the obvious alliance with Brad. The only person here he hasn't played with (besides Brad) is Sierra, and that makes her a threat to go home next week if he chooses to play his idol to take out an unknown.

3. Andrea Boehlke - I just can't see her going. She's a strong challenge competitor, but not even close to being the biggest threat in the game. She's probably going to slip by to the merge at this point, thanks to her connections (she's currently on a tribe with three other Tavuas, and two additional players she started the game with, in Debbie, and Tai. It's hard to tell where she's going to want to go, but my safe bet is she's fine going with any of the remaining players. Varner makes the most sense for a variety of reasons, but with how he's backed into a corner, I would consider keeping him around, to blindside a Tai, Debbie, or Ozzy, all of whom have a reason to go.

4. Sarah Lacina - Like Andrea, she's in a good position. I have no real reason to rank her below Andrea, it's just me ranking her here for the sake of ranking someone here. Most of what I said about Andrea applies to Sarah, as both have gone through the same path to get here. Ozzy and Zeke have too. My question is if that four can stick together.

5. Zeke Smith - I might be playing this a bit risky, but it seems Zeke's brain has turned on for the season, which means I think he's going to get a few good moves in before he departs. He's allying with the right people, and he's even willing to work with Varner, god willing, which bodes well for his adaptability. If he, Varner, and Tai can work together, they can run roughshod through this game as under the radar threats, with Tai's idols, Jeff's sweet talking voice, and Zeke's brain.

6. Michaela Bradshaw - I don't really have a reason to keep her in the top half, but I have even less reason to put her in the bottom half. She hustled at the challenge, and while her attitude has been a focus this season, I think it's worth noting that she managed to stay in longer than JT. If her tribe loses, she isn't going to be the first Mana targeted. Aubry has the KR3 hanging over her, Hali is a complete unknown for everyone but Brad and Sierra, who both seem hesitant to trust her, and Troyzan is is well... Troyzan. Michaela vs. Aubry seems to be the next big feud, but I'm hoping it isn't. Love to see two of my favorite female players work together.

7. Sierra Dawn Thomas - In the vein of players being protected by bigger threats, Sierra is playing such an under the radar game, that it really isn't surprising that she's made it to where she is. She's subtly helping out with everything, appearing not to be too threatening, but she's definitely playing the game. She also has the Legacy Advantage, which she can use soon if she chooses to. I don't think she should, or will need to, but it's worth remembering.

8. Aubry Bracco - This is going to look risky, but with how she finally started to talk about the game, I think she's begun to play it. And with Sandra out of the picture, her stock goes way up. The biggest knock against her, and why she isn't higher, is the KR3. What she has going for her, is none of these people are on her tribe, which gives her way more time to contemplate how she wants to deal with them. She's in a position where she can either flop or flourish.

9. Hali Ford - I don't really see a reason to vote her out. She's been on the same tribe all game, which seems to handicap her ability to socialize with other players, which makes her an interesting free agent. Think she's the pre-merge swing vote for the remainder of the pre-jury phase.

10. Tai Trang - This is the start of my danger zone. There are five names I've considered to be likely to go home, so let's start with the safest of the five, Tai. He's the most safe, because he keeps finding idols. As long as he isn't JT and actually plays the idols, he'll be safe another week if he so chooses. Issue is, he's not a smart player, so odds are, he's going to misplay them, in one way or another. Even with twenty idols, he wouldn't be safe.

11. Debbie Wanner - I'm just going off a hunch. I don't think she goes very far, even with Cochran's help. What I do think, is that his pep talk will help her survive one more tribal council, at the least. She will never win this game, but right now, there are bigger fish to fry.

12. Cirie Fields - As much as I would love her gone... it's Survivor.

13. Jeff Varner - He's all alone. But he has a potential opening, so he's not dead yet. I think he truly is playing for the merge, rather than the win, so it could be very easy for him to get where he wants, if he allows himself to be a pawn.

14. Ozzy Lusth - Ozzy being a target is f***ing terrifying. All Tai has to do is decide to play his idol, and bye-bye Ozzy. We've already seen tons of proof that challenge strength means zilch, and next week, if he goes to Tribal, he could be the latest casualty of a nuts game.

RANKINGS
Team Leggy - 99 (Sandra 15th)
Team Nick - 39 (Sandra 15th)
Team Furret - 89 (Sandra 14th)
Team Gordon - 88 (Sandra 15th)
Team Adam - 88 (Sandra 12th)

So, next week, I am guaranteed to become the first member of the 100 club this season. I've held a pretty commanding lead to this point (99 out of a possible 105 points, I believe, which is just unreal. The results have been predictable, but the way those results are happening is just crazy.

This is such an entertaining season, because even if you see something coming a mile away, you still aren't prepared for it.
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Why tf was Cochran there and why did he get more confessionals than half of the remaining cast this episode.

Sad to see Sandra gone. She only improved her legacy this season IMO. Great player.

1.
Troyzan - He's now in the majority, has an idol, is befriending Brad and is on the physically stronger tribe. If he goes home then he'll join Erik Reichenbach, James and J.T. in the dumbest moves ever club.

2. Sarah - Unless she catches a stray bullet with Tai's idol(s) she should be safe. Feel like she'll pick up at the merge. Her name hasn't been tossed around once I believe.

3. Michaela - Didn't see anything from her this episode but she should be safe.

4. Andrea - Still invisible, feel like we'll see more of her.

5. Hali - She's my new queen <3 Nah but because she's in the majority and has connections with Brad/Sierra she shouldn't be a target.

6. Aubry - Michaela might throw her name around but I doubt it. Original Mana needs to get rid of an original Nuku.

7. Brad - Putting him lower because of the whole 4-3 thing. But since he's becoming best buds with Troyzan he should be somewhat safe.

8. Zeke - He is doing great. He should be safe but with two idols on that tribe you never know.

9. Sierra - Minority position. Doubt she goes but I'm putting her and Brad lower for this episode.

10. Debbie - She's crazy. The whole "3 Kaoh Rong players" thing might get her booted. I hope she goes this episode because it would be funny after all the s***peptalk Cochran gave her.

11. Tai - Even though he has two idols he's so erratic that nobody trusts him completely. Or even 20% for that matter.

12. Cirie - She's a threat, in the minority, and she's not even that tight with her original tribemates (Brad/Sierra).

13. Ozzy - Preview madness. But they've tried fooling us many times already with the preview. Crazy to see a guy go from #2 or #3 in most people's rankings to straight to the bottom lol.

14. Varner - Basing this purely on Ozzy's Hall of Fame votes for Andrea and Tai. They make me believe that Ozzy does not go this episode and lasts a bit longer.
Why tf was Cochran there and why did he get more confessionals than half of the remaining cast this episode.

Sad to see Sandra gone. She only improved her legacy this season IMO. Great player.

1.
Troyzan - He's now in the majority, has an idol, is befriending Brad and is on the physically stronger tribe. If he goes home then he'll join Erik Reichenbach, James and J.T. in the dumbest moves ever club.

2. Sarah - Unless she catches a stray bullet with Tai's idol(s) she should be safe. Feel like she'll pick up at the merge. Her name hasn't been tossed around once I believe.

3. Michaela - Didn't see anything from her this episode but she should be safe.

4. Andrea - Still invisible, feel like we'll see more of her.

5. Hali - She's my new queen <3 Nah but because she's in the majority and has connections with Brad/Sierra she shouldn't be a target.

6. Aubry - Michaela might throw her name around but I doubt it. Original Mana needs to get rid of an original Nuku.

7. Brad - Putting him lower because of the whole 4-3 thing. But since he's becoming best buds with Troyzan he should be somewhat safe.

8. Zeke - He is doing great. He should be safe but with two idols on that tribe you never know.

9. Sierra - Minority position. Doubt she goes but I'm putting her and Brad lower for this episode.

10. Debbie - She's crazy. The whole "3 Kaoh Rong players" thing might get her booted. I hope she goes this episode because it would be funny after all the s***peptalk Cochran gave her.

11. Tai - Even though he has two idols he's so erratic that nobody trusts him completely. Or even 20% for that matter.

12. Cirie - She's a threat, in the minority, and she's not even that tight with her original tribemates (Brad/Sierra).

13. Ozzy - Preview madness. But they've tried fooling us many times already with the preview. Crazy to see a guy go from #2 or #3 in most people's rankings to straight to the bottom lol.

14. Varner - Basing this purely on Ozzy's Hall of Fame votes for Andrea and Tai. They make me believe that Ozzy does not go this episode and lasts a bit longer.
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I know I'm late for this, but I've actually been watching Survivor this season, so I decided to take part in this the rest of the way.

So happy Sandra's gone. If I had to hear that "The queen stay queen" crap much longer, I likely would've stopped watching.

1. Troyzan Robertson - He's in the Majority and has an idol. For now, he's topping my list.

2. Sierra Dawn Thomas - She's under the radar, and is Brad Culpepper's closest ally. She's shown that she's capable of doing well in challenges, and she has the legacy advantage. I'm really interested to see if and when she'll use it.

3. Ozzy Lusth - It's not going to happen people! The previews are trying to mislead us.

4. Andrea Boehlke - Like Sierra, Andrea's under the radar, and doesn't look like she's in danger at all.

5. Sarah Lacina

6. Michaela Bradshaw - both Sarah and Michaela are safe for now.

7. Brad Culpepper - He's played a great game thus far. However, Brad's in the minority, and he's a huge threat.

8. Aubry Bracco

9. Tai Trang - In any other situation, a guy with 2 hidden immunity idols would be my #1 hands down. However, this is Tai we're talking about. He's completely unpredictable and untrustworthy. 

10. Zeke Smith

11. Debbie Wanner- If she can keep her craziness in check until the merge, I could see her being Brad Culpepper's kryptonite post-merge thanks to that extra vote.

12. Hali Ford

13. Cirie Fields - If Nuku pulls off the upset at the next immunity challenge, I believe she's in the most danger of going home.

14. Jeff Varner - His closest ally's gone, the only hope for him now is for Tai to use his 2 idols on himself and Varner and take out Ozzy. Otherwise, he's gone. I don't believe the preview for tomorrow's episode for a second.
I know I'm late for this, but I've actually been watching Survivor this season, so I decided to take part in this the rest of the way.

So happy Sandra's gone. If I had to hear that "The queen stay queen" crap much longer, I likely would've stopped watching.

1. Troyzan Robertson - He's in the Majority and has an idol. For now, he's topping my list.

2. Sierra Dawn Thomas - She's under the radar, and is Brad Culpepper's closest ally. She's shown that she's capable of doing well in challenges, and she has the legacy advantage. I'm really interested to see if and when she'll use it.

3. Ozzy Lusth - It's not going to happen people! The previews are trying to mislead us.

4. Andrea Boehlke - Like Sierra, Andrea's under the radar, and doesn't look like she's in danger at all.

5. Sarah Lacina

6. Michaela Bradshaw - both Sarah and Michaela are safe for now.

7. Brad Culpepper - He's played a great game thus far. However, Brad's in the minority, and he's a huge threat.

8. Aubry Bracco

9. Tai Trang - In any other situation, a guy with 2 hidden immunity idols would be my #1 hands down. However, this is Tai we're talking about. He's completely unpredictable and untrustworthy. 

10. Zeke Smith

11. Debbie Wanner- If she can keep her craziness in check until the merge, I could see her being Brad Culpepper's kryptonite post-merge thanks to that extra vote.

12. Hali Ford

13. Cirie Fields - If Nuku pulls off the upset at the next immunity challenge, I believe she's in the most danger of going home.

14. Jeff Varner - His closest ally's gone, the only hope for him now is for Tai to use his 2 idols on himself and Varner and take out Ozzy. Otherwise, he's gone. I don't believe the preview for tomorrow's episode for a second.
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Still a gutsy move putting Ozzy at 3. There have been previews that have been accurate as well (probably to fool people like us lol). Think Lucy from last season.
Still a gutsy move putting Ozzy at 3. There have been previews that have been accurate as well (probably to fool people like us lol). Think Lucy from last season.
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Furret :
gamerforlifeforever :

Man. I'm part of the LGBT community, and I'm not sure what I want to feel about Varner right now. Part of me wants to forgive him, and I'm doing my best to do so. But I think this one needs time.

Last night marked the first time in a long time that I've cried about something regarding Survivor. It's very rare the show gets that real, and I'm glad the show handled it the way it did. That is the type of controversy that can end up cancelling a show, but I feel like they played it perfectly.

EPISODE 7 POWER RANKINGS
1. Sierra Dawn Thomas - We're at the merge, and she has the legacy advantage. If she chooses, she can use it this episode. She probably won't have to, since being the merge, they will want to take out the alpha male threats. Sierra Dawn Thomas is so not a threat, that she's going to coast until a point in the game where she is a threat. For now, it's all rainbows in SDT land.

2. Hali Ford - Similarly to Sierra, she has nothing to worry about. Why would anyone vote her out? It would make no f***ing sense. She's not a threat either, and you can always get her out later if you want, not like she's going to be winning immunities with this current group.

3. Sarah Lacina - You are going to be noticing a theme. The top 5 most safe people this week are all women. It's worth noting there are more men left than women. That's just how safe all of them are. The men are threats at the moment, most of the women simply aren't. So logically, the end game of this season will be dominated by women, because you are going to get rid of the threats to win, not the non-threats. Sarah, of the non-threats, might be the most threatening, and she's a darkhorse winner pick right now. I don't know how I feel about what she said at tribal, regarding Zeke. It felt fake to me, and like it was all about her, rather than being about Zeke. She said she's going to play like a criminal, so I'm not buying anything at face value.

4. Andrea Boehlke - The Invisiqueen strikes again! She said some words at tribal (everyone did), but otherwise, her impact wasn't felt, which makes me think one of two things. Either A) she's playing down in the pre-merge intentionally, in the hopes of a better merge campaign, or B) she's not a player this season, and will only be used as a number until she is blindsided. I might lean towards the second one right now, given her complete lack of any real content besides looking foolish (Troyzan found an idol on her watch, etc), so it's not a good look for her.

5. Debbie Wanner - What a world we live in, where I feel safe putting Debbie in the top 5. Her double vote is looking more and more likely to be worth something. She played well this past episode, and I get the feeling things are just getting started with her story.

6. Zeke Smith - With the fallout from the Varner thing, let's be honest, no one is going to vote him out next. He might go the next episode, but I don't think any of the players wants to touch that flame with a fifty foot pole right now. Being outed as trans can only really hurt his game, because now, he could get a sympathy vote at FTC, which is dangerous to anyone who wants to win the game.

7. Brad Culpepper - There are two "alphas" this season, that are left. Of those two alphas, Brad is the safest, by warrant of his bonds. He has complete loyalty, it seems, of those under him, and he's even roping in other players to work with him. I'm not sure whether or not I believe he can win, but he's got a better case than I gave credit for at the start of the season.

8. Tai Trang - He's a goat with two idols. He should be as safe as can be. But for whatever reason, people think he's a threat. Just going to play it a bit safe with him.

9. Cirie Fields - I'm not getting what I want this week, even though it's a guarantee she'll finally go to Tribal.

10. Michaela Bradshaw - This week is a moment of truth for Michaela. She's been downplaying her challenge abilities in the pre-merge, and now that it's everyone for themselves, she has a big choice to make. Does she downplay just a bit longer, and let big threats like Brad and Troyzan and Ozzy get themselves out? Or does she turn it on and attempt to win the challenges? I believe she should lay low just a bit longer, because 13 players means there's a lot of game left. She still needs to reel in her emotions a bit.

11. Troyzan Robertson - Would normally be a pretty big target here, but he seems to have a reliable ally and an idol. But I'm not certain what player he is right now.

12. Aubry Bracco - Let it be known, I love what she did this week. But everyone out there knows the type of player she is. She's smart like Cirie, good at puzzles, and a low-key challenge threat. Her social game is a bit weak in comparison, but the players have to assume she's improved on that thanks to her last season. She's a big target, regardless, and if Ozzy wins the challenge, I think she's in trouble.

13. Ozzy Lusth - If Ozzy loses the challenge, this is a gimme. And with how Brad is consistently excellent and former professional athlete, I think there's a decent chance Ozzy loses the challenge. Would be stupid to rank him highly.

RANKINGS
Team Leggy - 112 (Varner 13th)
Team Nick - 40 (Varner 1st)
Team Furret - 103 (Varner 14th)
Team Gordon - 101 (Varner 13th)
Team Adam - 102 (Varner 14th)
Team Gamer - 14 (Varner 14th)

I lose a point to those below me, which sucks, but I'm in a pretty good position going into the merge.

Most (all of us but one) had Varner in the bottom two spots, but I don't think anyone saw him going out in that way of all ways. Really disappointing to see.

------

EDIT - Here is Furret's submission

1. Sierra - She has the legacy advantage that can only be played here or at F6. So I mean even if she gets targeted she should be okay. Why boot Sierra at the merge anyway, makes no sense to me.

2. Tai - Guy has two idols. There's two tribals. Theoretically he could be 100% safe, although I don't think he'll play both of them. Who would target Tai over Ozzy anyway. Plus he's on Brad's good side because of Mana v2.

3. Sarah - She's not a big threat compared to others from Nuku v3. Troyzan won't idol her out over someone else and she's not that great at challenges.

4. Andrea - Andrea and Sarah could be somewhat interchangeable but I'm putting Andrea at #4 because someone with an idol doesn't like her. She's one of the better female challenge competitors left but there are bigger names that people will want to target. Also still haven't seen much of anything from her, I can't remember anything important she did this season other than walk over the legacy advantage.

5. Hali - <3 Hali needs to make connections with the Nuku v3 people. She's only been a part of Mana so far so she has not met any of those people besides Tai and Debbie. But she could go either way really, because Tai really liked her and said he'd prefer to have her over Debbie. She's in a great position this episode but needs to make connections or she'll be picked off somewhere mid-jury.

6. Zeke - Guy is now a FTC threat. Which stinks for Zeke because he was playing really well up until this point, but he has now received the burden of being a threat. Nobody who knows will want to sit next to Zeke at FTC. The other 7 people don't know though, which probably means he survives this episode.

7. Michaela - Girl's got an attitude. She's on the outs on Nuku v3, has no allies in the game, besides maybe Queen Hali, and she's good in challenges. I could see her either being a potential swing vote or show her strength too early and be voted out because of it.

8. Debbie - Okay hear me out. I read something about two players not enjoying the merge feast. That means they either stay behind or go to exile. And they all heard the horror stories of Debbie's exile experience. Imagine the scenes if they arrive at exile only to find this luxurious boat filled with goodies. That's not what Debbie told them it was like, now is it? It's just a theory of mine (it'd be funny as f*** lol) but Debbie is crazy so she might do something to get her in trouble anyway. Hope she writes "Shirie" twice at tribal lol. Also Kaoh Rong 3.

9. Brad - People know he's good because of what all went down at the Malcolm boot. I think everyone knows that he's the leader over there. And like Tony once said, if a lion wants to take over, it kills the other lion. Then it kills the cubs.

10. Troyzan - The people who were on Tavua with him (minus Sarah) really don't like the guy. They might want to target him, and he only has one idol. I'm actually liking him this season so I hope it doesn't happen.

11. Aubry - Kaoh Rong 3, one of the few original Mana's left. She's cool with Brad now but Nuku v3 might want to get rid of original Mana people first.

12. Cirie - People are going to be scared of her since post-merge is Cirie's strong suit. Although she has found a way in with Brad so she has something going for her. But you need 7 to have the majority at the merge. The 6 people on Nuku v3 are probably not going to split up after what happened last tribal council. So if one more person joins that team, she might be screwed. Hell Debbie's double vote could screw her. Oh and remember all the focus on Ozzy vs. Cirie at the premiere, they didn't show that for nothing.

13. Ozzy - I mean considering the double boot episode there's a good chance that he'll lose a challenge and get voted out. Immunity threat #1. I hope it doesn't happen because those 6 people are really tight right now but who knows, maybe Varner's case of the Ozzy & Zeke thing might work in the long run.
Furret :
gamerforlifeforever :

Man. I'm part of the LGBT community, and I'm not sure what I want to feel about Varner right now. Part of me wants to forgive him, and I'm doing my best to do so. But I think this one needs time.

Last night marked the first time in a long time that I've cried about something regarding Survivor. It's very rare the show gets that real, and I'm glad the show handled it the way it did. That is the type of controversy that can end up cancelling a show, but I feel like they played it perfectly.

EPISODE 7 POWER RANKINGS
1. Sierra Dawn Thomas - We're at the merge, and she has the legacy advantage. If she chooses, she can use it this episode. She probably won't have to, since being the merge, they will want to take out the alpha male threats. Sierra Dawn Thomas is so not a threat, that she's going to coast until a point in the game where she is a threat. For now, it's all rainbows in SDT land.

2. Hali Ford - Similarly to Sierra, she has nothing to worry about. Why would anyone vote her out? It would make no f***ing sense. She's not a threat either, and you can always get her out later if you want, not like she's going to be winning immunities with this current group.

3. Sarah Lacina - You are going to be noticing a theme. The top 5 most safe people this week are all women. It's worth noting there are more men left than women. That's just how safe all of them are. The men are threats at the moment, most of the women simply aren't. So logically, the end game of this season will be dominated by women, because you are going to get rid of the threats to win, not the non-threats. Sarah, of the non-threats, might be the most threatening, and she's a darkhorse winner pick right now. I don't know how I feel about what she said at tribal, regarding Zeke. It felt fake to me, and like it was all about her, rather than being about Zeke. She said she's going to play like a criminal, so I'm not buying anything at face value.

4. Andrea Boehlke - The Invisiqueen strikes again! She said some words at tribal (everyone did), but otherwise, her impact wasn't felt, which makes me think one of two things. Either A) she's playing down in the pre-merge intentionally, in the hopes of a better merge campaign, or B) she's not a player this season, and will only be used as a number until she is blindsided. I might lean towards the second one right now, given her complete lack of any real content besides looking foolish (Troyzan found an idol on her watch, etc), so it's not a good look for her.

5. Debbie Wanner - What a world we live in, where I feel safe putting Debbie in the top 5. Her double vote is looking more and more likely to be worth something. She played well this past episode, and I get the feeling things are just getting started with her story.

6. Zeke Smith - With the fallout from the Varner thing, let's be honest, no one is going to vote him out next. He might go the next episode, but I don't think any of the players wants to touch that flame with a fifty foot pole right now. Being outed as trans can only really hurt his game, because now, he could get a sympathy vote at FTC, which is dangerous to anyone who wants to win the game.

7. Brad Culpepper - There are two "alphas" this season, that are left. Of those two alphas, Brad is the safest, by warrant of his bonds. He has complete loyalty, it seems, of those under him, and he's even roping in other players to work with him. I'm not sure whether or not I believe he can win, but he's got a better case than I gave credit for at the start of the season.

8. Tai Trang - He's a goat with two idols. He should be as safe as can be. But for whatever reason, people think he's a threat. Just going to play it a bit safe with him.

9. Cirie Fields - I'm not getting what I want this week, even though it's a guarantee she'll finally go to Tribal.

10. Michaela Bradshaw - This week is a moment of truth for Michaela. She's been downplaying her challenge abilities in the pre-merge, and now that it's everyone for themselves, she has a big choice to make. Does she downplay just a bit longer, and let big threats like Brad and Troyzan and Ozzy get themselves out? Or does she turn it on and attempt to win the challenges? I believe she should lay low just a bit longer, because 13 players means there's a lot of game left. She still needs to reel in her emotions a bit.

11. Troyzan Robertson - Would normally be a pretty big target here, but he seems to have a reliable ally and an idol. But I'm not certain what player he is right now.

12. Aubry Bracco - Let it be known, I love what she did this week. But everyone out there knows the type of player she is. She's smart like Cirie, good at puzzles, and a low-key challenge threat. Her social game is a bit weak in comparison, but the players have to assume she's improved on that thanks to her last season. She's a big target, regardless, and if Ozzy wins the challenge, I think she's in trouble.

13. Ozzy Lusth - If Ozzy loses the challenge, this is a gimme. And with how Brad is consistently excellent and former professional athlete, I think there's a decent chance Ozzy loses the challenge. Would be stupid to rank him highly.

RANKINGS
Team Leggy - 112 (Varner 13th)
Team Nick - 40 (Varner 1st)
Team Furret - 103 (Varner 14th)
Team Gordon - 101 (Varner 13th)
Team Adam - 102 (Varner 14th)
Team Gamer - 14 (Varner 14th)

I lose a point to those below me, which sucks, but I'm in a pretty good position going into the merge.

Most (all of us but one) had Varner in the bottom two spots, but I don't think anyone saw him going out in that way of all ways. Really disappointing to see.

------

EDIT - Here is Furret's submission

1. Sierra - She has the legacy advantage that can only be played here or at F6. So I mean even if she gets targeted she should be okay. Why boot Sierra at the merge anyway, makes no sense to me.

2. Tai - Guy has two idols. There's two tribals. Theoretically he could be 100% safe, although I don't think he'll play both of them. Who would target Tai over Ozzy anyway. Plus he's on Brad's good side because of Mana v2.

3. Sarah - She's not a big threat compared to others from Nuku v3. Troyzan won't idol her out over someone else and she's not that great at challenges.

4. Andrea - Andrea and Sarah could be somewhat interchangeable but I'm putting Andrea at #4 because someone with an idol doesn't like her. She's one of the better female challenge competitors left but there are bigger names that people will want to target. Also still haven't seen much of anything from her, I can't remember anything important she did this season other than walk over the legacy advantage.

5. Hali - <3 Hali needs to make connections with the Nuku v3 people. She's only been a part of Mana so far so she has not met any of those people besides Tai and Debbie. But she could go either way really, because Tai really liked her and said he'd prefer to have her over Debbie. She's in a great position this episode but needs to make connections or she'll be picked off somewhere mid-jury.

6. Zeke - Guy is now a FTC threat. Which stinks for Zeke because he was playing really well up until this point, but he has now received the burden of being a threat. Nobody who knows will want to sit next to Zeke at FTC. The other 7 people don't know though, which probably means he survives this episode.

7. Michaela - Girl's got an attitude. She's on the outs on Nuku v3, has no allies in the game, besides maybe Queen Hali, and she's good in challenges. I could see her either being a potential swing vote or show her strength too early and be voted out because of it.

8. Debbie - Okay hear me out. I read something about two players not enjoying the merge feast. That means they either stay behind or go to exile. And they all heard the horror stories of Debbie's exile experience. Imagine the scenes if they arrive at exile only to find this luxurious boat filled with goodies. That's not what Debbie told them it was like, now is it? It's just a theory of mine (it'd be funny as f*** lol) but Debbie is crazy so she might do something to get her in trouble anyway. Hope she writes "Shirie" twice at tribal lol. Also Kaoh Rong 3.

9. Brad - People know he's good because of what all went down at the Malcolm boot. I think everyone knows that he's the leader over there. And like Tony once said, if a lion wants to take over, it kills the other lion. Then it kills the cubs.

10. Troyzan - The people who were on Tavua with him (minus Sarah) really don't like the guy. They might want to target him, and he only has one idol. I'm actually liking him this season so I hope it doesn't happen.

11. Aubry - Kaoh Rong 3, one of the few original Mana's left. She's cool with Brad now but Nuku v3 might want to get rid of original Mana people first.

12. Cirie - People are going to be scared of her since post-merge is Cirie's strong suit. Although she has found a way in with Brad so she has something going for her. But you need 7 to have the majority at the merge. The 6 people on Nuku v3 are probably not going to split up after what happened last tribal council. So if one more person joins that team, she might be screwed. Hell Debbie's double vote could screw her. Oh and remember all the focus on Ozzy vs. Cirie at the premiere, they didn't show that for nothing.

13. Ozzy - I mean considering the double boot episode there's a good chance that he'll lose a challenge and get voted out. Immunity threat #1. I hope it doesn't happen because those 6 people are really tight right now but who knows, maybe Varner's case of the Ozzy & Zeke thing might work in the long run.
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(edited by legacyme3 on 04-18-17 05:35 PM)    

04-19-17 12:13 PM
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1. Debbie Wanner - I'm so glad she's made it to the merge. I've said this before, but she's Brad Culpepper's kryptonite. The extra vote could change the game.

2. Sierra Dawn Thomas - Legacy advantage ftw!

3. Troyzan Robertson - He has the idol, and I expect him to fly under the radar at least temporarily. His ally Brad Culpepper's a much bigger threat.

4. Andrea Boehlke

5. Sarah Lacina

6. Aubry Bracco

7. Tai Trang - He's got 2 idols and he's not a challenge threat that everyone's gunning for.

8. Michaela Bradshaw - she's dropping a couple of spots on my list mainly due to the chance of her losing her cool. It's kinda hypocritical for me to give Debbie such a high ranking when she's more of a hothead than Michaela, but Michaela doesn't have anything that could give her power in this game.

9. Ozzy Lusth - everyone's going to be gunning for him this week, but I'm not putting him at the bottom because he's the biggest challenge threat in the game, so I expect him to start a big immunity winning streak.

10. Cirie Fields

11. Hali Ford

12. Zeke Smith - FTC threat, sympathy vote, I don't see him lasting much longer.

13. Brad Culpepper - I'm going out on a limb and say that despite having a strong alliance and despite the odds being in Brad Culpepper's favor to win the game, he could end up being sent home in one of the most surprising blindsides of the season.
1. Debbie Wanner - I'm so glad she's made it to the merge. I've said this before, but she's Brad Culpepper's kryptonite. The extra vote could change the game.

2. Sierra Dawn Thomas - Legacy advantage ftw!

3. Troyzan Robertson - He has the idol, and I expect him to fly under the radar at least temporarily. His ally Brad Culpepper's a much bigger threat.

4. Andrea Boehlke

5. Sarah Lacina

6. Aubry Bracco

7. Tai Trang - He's got 2 idols and he's not a challenge threat that everyone's gunning for.

8. Michaela Bradshaw - she's dropping a couple of spots on my list mainly due to the chance of her losing her cool. It's kinda hypocritical for me to give Debbie such a high ranking when she's more of a hothead than Michaela, but Michaela doesn't have anything that could give her power in this game.

9. Ozzy Lusth - everyone's going to be gunning for him this week, but I'm not putting him at the bottom because he's the biggest challenge threat in the game, so I expect him to start a big immunity winning streak.

10. Cirie Fields

11. Hali Ford

12. Zeke Smith - FTC threat, sympathy vote, I don't see him lasting much longer.

13. Brad Culpepper - I'm going out on a limb and say that despite having a strong alliance and despite the odds being in Brad Culpepper's favor to win the game, he could end up being sent home in one of the most surprising blindsides of the season.
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(edited by gamerforlifeforever on 04-19-17 12:14 PM)    

04-20-17 12:49 AM
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Furret :
gamerforlifeforever :

So, Furret... how about that Hali? Told you Aubry would outlive her (just didn't expect it to happen so soon).

EPISODE 8 POWER RANKINGS
1. Sierra Dawn Thomas - After that episode, with Hali going in the first half, I don't feel comfortable predicting any player to be safe. With 11 players left, Sierra can't use her legacy advantage for at least a couple more episodes, but I don't think she will need to, either. Outside of that lone Cirie vote, which will likely go down as inconsequential, she didn't seem to have a huge target this week. I expect with Ozzy out, her ability to perform in challenges will be more noticeable.

2. Brad Culpepper - I think it says a lot, that despite being vulnerable, and a CLEAR leader of an alliance, he's still here, without having a single vote against him in the entire game. He's doing well, seemingly, and with Ozzy gone, he might even have a good chance of winning out the rest of the way, given how well he's done in so many different things.

3. Sarah Lacina - The only constant in Survivor is that we know nothing. Sarah is set up as a swing vote, and she's been put in a central role, despite being such a bland, unexciting player. We've yet to see "criminal" Sarah in action, so this could be the turning point of her game. And it had better be, for her sake. Otherwise, she's just a (not so) pretty face, goating her way to the end.

4. Aubry Bracco - She's back to playing intelligently, and this is exactly where she wants to be. She was in the minority on the last vote, which isn't ideal, but she's got working relationships with enough players left in the game (especially since she acts as an antithesis to Michaela), that she could work with just about anybody left. She might be the sexiest free agent available, just because she is completely unattached to everyone. It's a great spot for now, but she needs to latch on with someone soon, if she doesn't want to get a reputation as a flipper.

5. Troyzan Robertson - He's still got an idol, right? He's in the majority alliance, right? He's got friends? Man, everything is looking up for Troyzan at the time being! Go Troyzan go! Might be my favorite player left.

6. Debbie Wanner - Was f***ing stupid to use her extra vote there, but she got what she wanted, which is credit for the big move, seemingly. Don't think she'll be at the end to take credit for it, but hey, whatever gets her off. She's still in an ok position, for the time being, but she could make for a quick and easy blindside after the last two tribals.

7. Andrea Boehlke - I've soured tremendously on her after her "vote" last episode. Voting Zeke is fine, but what she said sets her up as entirely unlikable. Zeke made a smart move, to wrest control from a controlling player. Game is supposed to recognize game. Saying someone is a "terrible player" and telling them to "go home" is an awful look no matter how you slice it.

8. Michaela Bradshaw - She might be in a bit of trouble, but Cirie saved her this week (I guess even Cirie has to be good for something). With any luck, that gives Michaela an in-roads to the rest of Cirie's alliance, although I have hopes she'll outlive Cirie in this game.

9. Cirie Fields - You saved Michaela, good. Now go home.

10. Zeke Smith - I knew they'd be coming for Zeke eventually, but I didn't think they'd be coming for him already. He's a huge threat, potentially in a minority, and has lost the trust of half the players in this game.

11. Tai Trang - He dethroned Ozzy, not just as the champion of that one challenge, but also as the most prominent challenge beast on the season. Two strong showings in two consecutive challenges, known for finding idols, and a huge threat because of social ties... not even two idols can save him, if he doesn't play them.

RANKINGS
Team Leggy - 127 (Ozzy 13th, Hali 2nd)
Team Nick - 55 (Ozzy 11th, Hali 4th)
Team Furret - 121 (Ozzy 13th, Hali 5th)
Team Gordon - 117 (Ozzy 13th, Hali 3rd)
Team Adam - 122 (Ozzy 13th, Hali 7th)
Team Gamer - 34 (Ozzy 9th, Hali 11th)

So, I have my worst week of the season by far, despite getting one of the boots, for the unexpected loss of Hali. I'm still in pretty decent shape, but I need this upcoming week to be a strong one to stay up front.

Everyone had a pretty solid week, but only two players had Hali in the bottom half. Not sure what they saw, but there you have it.
Furret :
gamerforlifeforever :

So, Furret... how about that Hali? Told you Aubry would outlive her (just didn't expect it to happen so soon).

EPISODE 8 POWER RANKINGS
1. Sierra Dawn Thomas - After that episode, with Hali going in the first half, I don't feel comfortable predicting any player to be safe. With 11 players left, Sierra can't use her legacy advantage for at least a couple more episodes, but I don't think she will need to, either. Outside of that lone Cirie vote, which will likely go down as inconsequential, she didn't seem to have a huge target this week. I expect with Ozzy out, her ability to perform in challenges will be more noticeable.

2. Brad Culpepper - I think it says a lot, that despite being vulnerable, and a CLEAR leader of an alliance, he's still here, without having a single vote against him in the entire game. He's doing well, seemingly, and with Ozzy gone, he might even have a good chance of winning out the rest of the way, given how well he's done in so many different things.

3. Sarah Lacina - The only constant in Survivor is that we know nothing. Sarah is set up as a swing vote, and she's been put in a central role, despite being such a bland, unexciting player. We've yet to see "criminal" Sarah in action, so this could be the turning point of her game. And it had better be, for her sake. Otherwise, she's just a (not so) pretty face, goating her way to the end.

4. Aubry Bracco - She's back to playing intelligently, and this is exactly where she wants to be. She was in the minority on the last vote, which isn't ideal, but she's got working relationships with enough players left in the game (especially since she acts as an antithesis to Michaela), that she could work with just about anybody left. She might be the sexiest free agent available, just because she is completely unattached to everyone. It's a great spot for now, but she needs to latch on with someone soon, if she doesn't want to get a reputation as a flipper.

5. Troyzan Robertson - He's still got an idol, right? He's in the majority alliance, right? He's got friends? Man, everything is looking up for Troyzan at the time being! Go Troyzan go! Might be my favorite player left.

6. Debbie Wanner - Was f***ing stupid to use her extra vote there, but she got what she wanted, which is credit for the big move, seemingly. Don't think she'll be at the end to take credit for it, but hey, whatever gets her off. She's still in an ok position, for the time being, but she could make for a quick and easy blindside after the last two tribals.

7. Andrea Boehlke - I've soured tremendously on her after her "vote" last episode. Voting Zeke is fine, but what she said sets her up as entirely unlikable. Zeke made a smart move, to wrest control from a controlling player. Game is supposed to recognize game. Saying someone is a "terrible player" and telling them to "go home" is an awful look no matter how you slice it.

8. Michaela Bradshaw - She might be in a bit of trouble, but Cirie saved her this week (I guess even Cirie has to be good for something). With any luck, that gives Michaela an in-roads to the rest of Cirie's alliance, although I have hopes she'll outlive Cirie in this game.

9. Cirie Fields - You saved Michaela, good. Now go home.

10. Zeke Smith - I knew they'd be coming for Zeke eventually, but I didn't think they'd be coming for him already. He's a huge threat, potentially in a minority, and has lost the trust of half the players in this game.

11. Tai Trang - He dethroned Ozzy, not just as the champion of that one challenge, but also as the most prominent challenge beast on the season. Two strong showings in two consecutive challenges, known for finding idols, and a huge threat because of social ties... not even two idols can save him, if he doesn't play them.

RANKINGS
Team Leggy - 127 (Ozzy 13th, Hali 2nd)
Team Nick - 55 (Ozzy 11th, Hali 4th)
Team Furret - 121 (Ozzy 13th, Hali 5th)
Team Gordon - 117 (Ozzy 13th, Hali 3rd)
Team Adam - 122 (Ozzy 13th, Hali 7th)
Team Gamer - 34 (Ozzy 9th, Hali 11th)

So, I have my worst week of the season by far, despite getting one of the boots, for the unexpected loss of Hali. I'm still in pretty decent shape, but I need this upcoming week to be a strong one to stay up front.

Everyone had a pretty solid week, but only two players had Hali in the bottom half. Not sure what they saw, but there you have it.
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04-23-17 10:49 PM
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1. Sierra Dawn Thomas - If I had to predict a winner this week, I'd put my money on Sierra.

2. Troyzan Robertson - He's in the majority, he's got an idol, and there are much bigger threats that the minority alliance could target if they can get someone to swing over to their side.

3. Tai Trang - I really underestimated his ability in challenges. With the 2 idols still in tact, he's got nothing to worry about for awhile.

4. Sarah Lacina - Her and Aubry are both blah, but both are in potential swing vote territory.

5. Aubry Bracco - ^

6. Andrea Boehlke - I agree with what Leggy said about her.

7. Debbie Wanner - Really? You used your extra vote to take out Ozzy? She should've held onto that thing and used it to take out Brad.

8. Brad Culpepper - Being a former professional athlete, he's the biggest challenge threat remaining in the game. It would be stupid of the minority and potential swing votes not to target him, that is if someone manages to bring him down in a challenge. Since the Debbie  extra vote is gone, he's climbing up on my power rankings.

9. Cirie Fields - Putting her 1 spot higher than I had her last week solely because of how close Michaela and Zeke were to getting voted out last week.

10. Michaela Bradshaw - Seeing she was targeted right after the merge, I don't see her lasting much longer.

11. Zeke Smith - He's a guy who clearly can no longer be trusted. He's in the minority, so he's going to need a miracle to make it any further.
1. Sierra Dawn Thomas - If I had to predict a winner this week, I'd put my money on Sierra.

2. Troyzan Robertson - He's in the majority, he's got an idol, and there are much bigger threats that the minority alliance could target if they can get someone to swing over to their side.

3. Tai Trang - I really underestimated his ability in challenges. With the 2 idols still in tact, he's got nothing to worry about for awhile.

4. Sarah Lacina - Her and Aubry are both blah, but both are in potential swing vote territory.

5. Aubry Bracco - ^

6. Andrea Boehlke - I agree with what Leggy said about her.

7. Debbie Wanner - Really? You used your extra vote to take out Ozzy? She should've held onto that thing and used it to take out Brad.

8. Brad Culpepper - Being a former professional athlete, he's the biggest challenge threat remaining in the game. It would be stupid of the minority and potential swing votes not to target him, that is if someone manages to bring him down in a challenge. Since the Debbie  extra vote is gone, he's climbing up on my power rankings.

9. Cirie Fields - Putting her 1 spot higher than I had her last week solely because of how close Michaela and Zeke were to getting voted out last week.

10. Michaela Bradshaw - Seeing she was targeted right after the merge, I don't see her lasting much longer.

11. Zeke Smith - He's a guy who clearly can no longer be trusted. He's in the minority, so he's going to need a miracle to make it any further.
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(edited by gamerforlifeforever on 04-23-17 10:55 PM)    

04-26-17 03:45 PM
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Hali is still queen <3 

Looks like the game is heating up now that we've hit the merge. The pre-merge was rather predictable aside from a couple of votes so that's good. And hey at least I gained on leggy by 3 points so it's not the end of the world, even if I'm back down to 3rd.


1. Troyzan - Man's got an idol and that's a checkbox that makes you like 20x more safe than the others. He's been a little quiet recently so I hope he can pull of some fun stuff this episode.

2. Aubry - Not liking her this season. But she's not in the cross-fire so good for her.

3. Sarah - Come on, if she does the same thing here as she did in Cagayan it's more her fault than mine for putting her here. But she's seemingly in a great position. Hope she can use Zeke as a decoy and cause some damage to that main alliance.

4. Tai - Man's got two idols but he's also erratic when it comes to strategy so idk. Not good that he's shown how much of a beast he can be in challenges this early on.

5. Brad - He's gotten such a positive edit that I'd find it weird for him to be booted next. Lowkey kind of rooting for him.

6. Michaela - She was smart and let go of the pole early. People are still underestimating how good she can be in challenges.

7. Sierra - People know that she's running the show. You usually want to hide the fact that you're running the show. Also I find her increasingly annoying this season lol.

8. Debbie - Because I want her gone asap. This placement is not strategic, strictly personal.

9. Cirie - Feel like she'll never truly be safe lol. Her name was thrown around by Zeke last week and if he and Sarah do end up working together than that's bad news for Cirie.

10. Andrea - War time for her and Zeke, fear she might get idol'd out.

11. Zeke - He f***ed up lol
Hali is still queen <3 

Looks like the game is heating up now that we've hit the merge. The pre-merge was rather predictable aside from a couple of votes so that's good. And hey at least I gained on leggy by 3 points so it's not the end of the world, even if I'm back down to 3rd.


1. Troyzan - Man's got an idol and that's a checkbox that makes you like 20x more safe than the others. He's been a little quiet recently so I hope he can pull of some fun stuff this episode.

2. Aubry - Not liking her this season. But she's not in the cross-fire so good for her.

3. Sarah - Come on, if she does the same thing here as she did in Cagayan it's more her fault than mine for putting her here. But she's seemingly in a great position. Hope she can use Zeke as a decoy and cause some damage to that main alliance.

4. Tai - Man's got two idols but he's also erratic when it comes to strategy so idk. Not good that he's shown how much of a beast he can be in challenges this early on.

5. Brad - He's gotten such a positive edit that I'd find it weird for him to be booted next. Lowkey kind of rooting for him.

6. Michaela - She was smart and let go of the pole early. People are still underestimating how good she can be in challenges.

7. Sierra - People know that she's running the show. You usually want to hide the fact that you're running the show. Also I find her increasingly annoying this season lol.

8. Debbie - Because I want her gone asap. This placement is not strategic, strictly personal.

9. Cirie - Feel like she'll never truly be safe lol. Her name was thrown around by Zeke last week and if he and Sarah do end up working together than that's bad news for Cirie.

10. Andrea - War time for her and Zeke, fear she might get idol'd out.

11. Zeke - He f***ed up lol
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04-26-17 11:44 PM
legacyme3 is Offline
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gamerforlifeforever :

Well, that was satisfying. Would have been happy with either result.

EPISODE 9 POWER RANKINGS
1. Sarah Lacina - I'm about a week from declaring her the most likely to win this season. She's gone from a darkhorse to a top contender, even though she's been boring as s***, and bland in all of her confessionals. She is the only player in the game right now with a clear path to the Final 3, and she emerged in the majority, with an avenue to return to her old alliance. She's in a great position and has the best advantage in the game in my opinion, if used properly. And with what we're seeing from her, she will probably use it correctly, unfortunately.

2. Troyzan Robertson - He's a lovable idiot, which makes him my pick for "goat" of the season. He has the ability to go far, based on physical ability alone, and he's got a good alliance around him, shielding him from harm. He also still has that idol, I think, which means, even if he's in trouble, he has tools with which he can work with. I worry a little, with his concerns about getting to 6, before worrying about anything beyond, which could set up a downfall before the final 6, but let's see where next week brings him before penalizing him for it.

3. Brad Culpepper - Similar to his alliance-mates, I'm not going to penalize him too heavily. He came very close to winning immunity, and he's still got Troyzan and Sierra with him. He might have the most solid 3 of the players left, and Zeke wants to work with him, according to the preview. Might be a risk putting him this high, since I believe he's a high risk player, but I'll keep him up here for the time being.

4. Michaela Bradshaw - Welcome to the danger zone, everyone from here on below I could easily see leaving next week. Either by way of a blindside that makes a ton of logical sense, and is reasonable for the players to do (no one is going to blindside f***ing Troyzan), or by way of being seen as too big a threat. I don't know what to make of player's perceptions of Michaela. She's evidently a physical threat, but people have been saying she has a bad attitude all season, which is concerning. Either way, if she's actually a bad attitude, she makes for a good goat.

5. Tai Trang - He's got two idols. He could be blindsided. I don't know, I feel very risky putting him this high, especially since he's a challenge threat. His saving grace was he's in the minority, and if Zeke plans to flip over, he makes for the perfect person to gain a bonus to his safety, especially if he's willing to burn an idol to stay around another week. He has to know he's in the minority right now, right?

6. Aubry Bracco - With one less person from Kaoh Rong left, her chances of getting further keep improving. Her target, with Debbie out of the game, seems to have gotten smaller. Zeke cast a throwaway vote for her, and so did a couple players (including Sandra) early on, but she seems to be fairly under the radar. She'd make a satisfying (albeit crushing) blindside to watch though, so I can't ignore her threat level.

7. Sierra Dawn Thomas - I originally had her in the top spot, but a rewatch of the episode has me wondering if she's the next target, she's been set up as a downfall arc candidate, and her advantage doesn't come into play again for a bit. I think we could see the Advantage willed again.

8. Zeke Smith - He seems to be safe, based on the fact he's open to working with the minority to keep things interesting. But this could also circle around to the majority, and make for an easy case of the enemy of my enemy is my friend. Both sides could agree to just take a big threat to win at the end out, and have a break from the scheming. So I'm not going to ignore his threat level. Think he should be fine, wouldn't be shocked to be wrong though.

9. Cirie Fields - Could she be any more f***ing useless? Still not getting what I want. Sigh.

10. Andrea Boehlke - With how close she was to going home, I wouldn't be shocked to see the minority throw her name out there. Zeke has noted an interest in getting Andrea out in the past. Logically, it makes a ton of sense to just go forward with her being the vote. None of the players left, who have an idol, have any reason to save her. The only person who could is Sarah, but she'd have to burn her advantage, which I don't think actually benefits her long-term, especially if the story is trying to tell us she's the winner. I don't know, I think she makes a ton of sense here, and good riddance if so.

RANKINGS
Team Leggy - 133 (Debbie 6th)
Team Nick - 58 (Debbie 3rd)
Team Furret - 129 (Debbie 8th)
Team Gordon - 121 (Debbie 4th)
Team Adam - 125 (Debbie 3rd)
Team Gamer - 41 (Debbie 7th)

Furret is catching up. This could be a problem.
Furret :
gamerforlifeforever :

Well, that was satisfying. Would have been happy with either result.

EPISODE 9 POWER RANKINGS
1. Sarah Lacina - I'm about a week from declaring her the most likely to win this season. She's gone from a darkhorse to a top contender, even though she's been boring as s***, and bland in all of her confessionals. She is the only player in the game right now with a clear path to the Final 3, and she emerged in the majority, with an avenue to return to her old alliance. She's in a great position and has the best advantage in the game in my opinion, if used properly. And with what we're seeing from her, she will probably use it correctly, unfortunately.

2. Troyzan Robertson - He's a lovable idiot, which makes him my pick for "goat" of the season. He has the ability to go far, based on physical ability alone, and he's got a good alliance around him, shielding him from harm. He also still has that idol, I think, which means, even if he's in trouble, he has tools with which he can work with. I worry a little, with his concerns about getting to 6, before worrying about anything beyond, which could set up a downfall before the final 6, but let's see where next week brings him before penalizing him for it.

3. Brad Culpepper - Similar to his alliance-mates, I'm not going to penalize him too heavily. He came very close to winning immunity, and he's still got Troyzan and Sierra with him. He might have the most solid 3 of the players left, and Zeke wants to work with him, according to the preview. Might be a risk putting him this high, since I believe he's a high risk player, but I'll keep him up here for the time being.

4. Michaela Bradshaw - Welcome to the danger zone, everyone from here on below I could easily see leaving next week. Either by way of a blindside that makes a ton of logical sense, and is reasonable for the players to do (no one is going to blindside f***ing Troyzan), or by way of being seen as too big a threat. I don't know what to make of player's perceptions of Michaela. She's evidently a physical threat, but people have been saying she has a bad attitude all season, which is concerning. Either way, if she's actually a bad attitude, she makes for a good goat.

5. Tai Trang - He's got two idols. He could be blindsided. I don't know, I feel very risky putting him this high, especially since he's a challenge threat. His saving grace was he's in the minority, and if Zeke plans to flip over, he makes for the perfect person to gain a bonus to his safety, especially if he's willing to burn an idol to stay around another week. He has to know he's in the minority right now, right?

6. Aubry Bracco - With one less person from Kaoh Rong left, her chances of getting further keep improving. Her target, with Debbie out of the game, seems to have gotten smaller. Zeke cast a throwaway vote for her, and so did a couple players (including Sandra) early on, but she seems to be fairly under the radar. She'd make a satisfying (albeit crushing) blindside to watch though, so I can't ignore her threat level.

7. Sierra Dawn Thomas - I originally had her in the top spot, but a rewatch of the episode has me wondering if she's the next target, she's been set up as a downfall arc candidate, and her advantage doesn't come into play again for a bit. I think we could see the Advantage willed again.

8. Zeke Smith - He seems to be safe, based on the fact he's open to working with the minority to keep things interesting. But this could also circle around to the majority, and make for an easy case of the enemy of my enemy is my friend. Both sides could agree to just take a big threat to win at the end out, and have a break from the scheming. So I'm not going to ignore his threat level. Think he should be fine, wouldn't be shocked to be wrong though.

9. Cirie Fields - Could she be any more f***ing useless? Still not getting what I want. Sigh.

10. Andrea Boehlke - With how close she was to going home, I wouldn't be shocked to see the minority throw her name out there. Zeke has noted an interest in getting Andrea out in the past. Logically, it makes a ton of sense to just go forward with her being the vote. None of the players left, who have an idol, have any reason to save her. The only person who could is Sarah, but she'd have to burn her advantage, which I don't think actually benefits her long-term, especially if the story is trying to tell us she's the winner. I don't know, I think she makes a ton of sense here, and good riddance if so.

RANKINGS
Team Leggy - 133 (Debbie 6th)
Team Nick - 58 (Debbie 3rd)
Team Furret - 129 (Debbie 8th)
Team Gordon - 121 (Debbie 4th)
Team Adam - 125 (Debbie 3rd)
Team Gamer - 41 (Debbie 7th)

Furret is catching up. This could be a problem.
Vizzed Elite
6-Time VCS Winner

One Leggy.
One Love.
One Dream.


Affected by 'Laziness Syndrome'

Registered: 09-14-10
Location: https://discord.gg/YCuUJz9
Last Post: 1281 days
Last Active: 1281 days

(edited by legacyme3 on 04-27-17 02:39 PM)    

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